This paper compares the renowned GARCH model with a novel one, the Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) model in terms of forecasting performance. Considering the gap in the literature, this study focuses on the Turkish stock and FX markets. The analysis covers 25 years (1999-2023), of which...

This paper examines the phenomenon of inflation inertia in Türkiye focusing on its persistence and the role of interconnected price-setting behaviors. Utilizing monthly data from 2004 to 2024, the study applies a novel augmented Phillips Curve framework, integrating a Time-Varying Parameter...

The objective of this paper is to analyze the volatility spillover effects in the Moroccan interbank sector before and during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis using the DY model. Specifically, this study assesses the impact of the recent COVID-19 outbreak on the transmission of volatility among...