Antonova, Anastasiia; Matvieiev, Mykhailo; Poilly, Céline - 2026 - Last updated: April 10, 2026
Recessions are often accompanied by heightened uncertainty. We build an imperfect-information New Keynesian model in which procyclical information quality generates endogenous countercyclical uncertainty, and the nonlinear structure allows for a precautionary saving motive. We show theoretically...