Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, … - 2007
The purpose of this paper is to determine whether smoothing in USDA corn and soybean production forecasts is concentrated in years with relatively small and large crops. The sample consists of all USDA corn and soybean production forecasts released over the 1970 through 2006 crop years. Results...