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subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
~isPartOf:"International journal of forecasting"
~isPartOf:"Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc."
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Prognoseverfahren
Frühindikator
194
Leading indicator
194
Forecasting model
152
Economic forecast
78
Wirtschaftsprognose
78
Theorie
67
Theory
67
Time series analysis
46
Zeitreihenanalyse
46
Business cycle
38
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38
USA
37
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37
Forecasting
28
Economic indicator
27
Wirtschaftsindikator
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Forecast
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Prognose
25
Factor analysis
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152
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Marcellino, Massimiliano
8
Lahiri, Kajal
5
Sinclair, Tara M.
5
Stekler, Herman O.
5
Foroni, Claudia
4
Fritsche, Ulrich
4
Zarnowitz, Victor
4
Zhao, Yongchen
4
Clements, Michael P.
3
Döpke, Jörg
3
Ferrara, Laurent
3
Guérin, Pierre
3
Pierdzioch, Christian
3
Öller, Lars-Erik
3
Aastveit, Knut Are
2
Carriero, Andrea
2
Dijk, Dick van
2
Galvão, Ana Beatriz C.
2
Giannone, Domenico
2
Israilevich, Guillermo
2
Knotek, Edward S.
2
Monokroussos, George
2
Pedersen, Michael
2
Ramos, Raúl
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Ravazzolo, Francesco
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Ruelke, Jan-Christoph
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Scheufele, Rolf
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Schumacher, Christian
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Stadtmann, Georg
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Stock, James H.
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Strohsal, Till
2
Watson, Mark W.
2
Wright, Jonathan H.
2
Zaman, Saeed
2
Zellner, Arnold
2
Ager, Philipp
1
Algaba, Andres
1
Alho, Juha M.
1
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International journal of forecasting
Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
Journal of forecasting
49
DIW weekly report : economy, politics, science : a policy bulletin from the German Institute for Economic Research
33
CESifo working papers
30
Kiel Institute economic outlook
27
Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria
26
Working paper
26
Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research
25
Journal of macroeconomics
25
Economic modelling
24
Applied economics letters
23
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association
23
Working paper series / European Central Bank
23
Economics letters
22
Journal of applied econometrics
22
NBER working paper series
22
Economic review
21
Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik
21
Applied economics
20
NBER Working Paper
19
Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB
18
Technical report / Sonderforschungsbereich 475 Komplexitätsreduktion in Multivariaten Datenstrukturen, Universität Dortmund
15
Discussion paper / Deutsche Bundesbank
14
Ifo-Schnelldienst
14
KOF working papers
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Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland working paper series
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Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute
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Documents de travail / Banque de France
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Journal of business cycle measurement and analysis : a joint publication of OECD and CIRET
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ECONIS (ZBW)
152
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1
Predicting recessions using VIX-yield curve cycles
Hansen, Anne Lundgaard
- In:
International journal of forecasting
40
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 409-422
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450279
Saved in:
2
Weekly economic activity : measurement and informational content
Wegmüller, Philipp
;
Glocker, Christian
;
Guggia, Valentino
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 228-243
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462777
Saved in:
3
Daily news sentiment and monthly surveys : a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model for nowcasting consumer confidence
Algaba, Andres
;
Borms, Samuel
;
Boudt, Kris
;
Verbeken, Brecht
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 266-278
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462779
Saved in:
4
Nowcasting German GDP : foreign factors, financial markets, and model averaging
Andreini, Paolo
;
Hasenzagl, Thomas
;
Reichlin, Lucrezia
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 298-313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462781
Saved in:
5
Differing behaviours of forecasters of UK GDP growth
Meade, Nigel
;
Driver, Ciaran F.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 772-790
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465147
Saved in:
6
Factor models for large and incomplete data sets with unknown group structure
Camacho, Maximo
;
López-Buenache, Germán
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1205-1220
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465266
Saved in:
7
Nowcasting GDP with a pool of factor models and a fast estimation algorithm
Eraslan, Sercan
;
Schröder, Maximilian
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1460-1476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465295
Saved in:
8
Internal consistency of household inflation expectations : point forecasts vs. density forecasts
Zhao, Yongchen
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1713-1735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465346
Saved in:
9
Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area using predictive combinations of DSGE models
Čapek, Jan
;
Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús
;
Hauzenberger, Niko
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1820-1838
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465357
Saved in:
10
Business-level expectations and uncertainty
Bloom, Nicholas
;
Davis, Steven J.
;
Foster, Lucia
; …
-
2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012423675
Saved in:
11
Short-term forecasting of the coronavirus pandemic
Doornik, Jurgen A.
;
Castle, Jennifer
;
Hendry, David F.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 453-466
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348597
Saved in:
12
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery : lessons from the financial crisis
Foroni, Claudia
;
Marcellino, Massimiliano
;
Stevanović, …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 596-612
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348666
Saved in:
13
Keeping track of global trade in real time
Martínez-Martín, Jaime
;
Rusticelli, Elena
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
1
,
pp. 224-236
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012692695
Saved in:
14
ALICE: composite leading indicators for euro area inflation cycles
Bondt, Gabe J. de
;
Hahn, Elke
;
Zekaite, Zivile
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
2
,
pp. 687-707
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792864
Saved in:
15
Nowcasting GDP using machine-learning algorithms : a real-time assessment
Richardson, Adam
;
Van Florenstein Mulder, Thomas
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
2
,
pp. 941-948
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792884
Saved in:
16
A comparison of monthly global indicators for forecasting growth
Baumeister, Christiane
;
Guérin, Pierre
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
3
,
pp. 1276-1295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794858
Saved in:
17
Factor extraction using Kalman filter and smoothing : this is not just another survey
Poncela, Pilar
;
Ruiz, Esther
;
Miranda, Karen
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
4
,
pp. 1399-1425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013274284
Saved in:
18
Nowcasting the local economy : using Yelp data to measure economic activity
Glaeser, Edward L.
;
Kim, Hyunjin
;
Luca, Michael
-
2017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011772895
Saved in:
19
High-frequency credit spread information and macroeconomic forecast revision
Deschamps, Bruno
;
Ioannidis, Christos
;
Ka, Kook
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 358-372
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012414805
Saved in:
20
Combining survey long-run forecasts and nowcasts with BVAR forecasts using relative entropy
Tallman, Ellis W.
;
Zaman, Saeed
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 373-398
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012414806
Saved in:
21
Data revisions to German national accounts : are initial releases good nowcasts?
Strohsal, Till
;
Wolf, Elias
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1252-1259
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546656
Saved in:
22
Investigating the inefficiency of the CBO's budgetary projections
Arai, Natsuki
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1290-1300
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546663
Saved in:
23
A textual analysis of Bank of England growth forecasts
Jones, Jacob T.
;
Sinclair, Tara M.
;
Stekler, Herman O.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1478-1487
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546807
Saved in:
24
Forecasting and forecast narratives : the Bank of England Inflation Reports
Clements, Michael P.
;
Reade, J. James
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1488-1500
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547039
Saved in:
25
Forecasting with news sentiment : evidence with UK newspapers
Rambaccussing, Dooruj
;
Kwiatkowski, Andrzej
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1501-1516
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547045
Saved in:
26
Linking words in economic discourse : implications for macroeconomic forecasts
Aromi, J. Daniel
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1517-1530
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547048
Saved in:
27
GDP forecasts : informational asymmetry of the SPF and FOMC minutes
Bespalova, Olga
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1531-1540
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547056
Saved in:
28
Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model : an application to the German business cycle
Carstensen, Kai
;
Heinrich, Markus
;
Reif, Magnus
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 829-850
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496873
Saved in:
29
Nowcasting in real time using popularity priors
Monokroussos, George
;
Zhao, Yongchen
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 1173-1180
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012498588
Saved in:
30
International propagation of shocks : a dynamic factor model using survey forecasts
Lahiri, Kajal
;
Zhao, Yongchen
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 929-947
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305192
Saved in:
31
Anomalies in macroeconomic prediction errors-evidence from Chilean private forecasters
Pedersen, Michael
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 1100-1107
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305229
Saved in:
32
Characteristics and implications of Chinese macroeconomic data revisions
Sinclair, Tara M.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 1108-1117
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305230
Saved in:
33
Some observations on forecasting and policy
Wright, Jonathan H.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 1186-1192
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305245
Saved in:
34
A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods
Carriero, Andrea
;
Galvão, Ana Beatriz C.
;
Kapetanios, …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1226-1239
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305256
Saved in:
35
Monthly forecasting of GDP with mixed-frequency multivariate singular spectrum analysis
Hassani, Hossein
;
Rua, António
;
Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1263-1272
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305274
Saved in:
36
Gauging the uncertainty of the economic outlook using historical forecasting errors : the Federal Reserve's approach
Reifschneider, David Leon
;
Tulip, Peter
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1564-1582
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305464
Saved in:
37
Evaluating the conditionality of judgmental forecasts
Berge, Travis J.
;
Chang, Andrew C.
;
Sinha, Nitish Ranjan
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1627-1635
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305503
Saved in:
38
Forecasting economic activity with mixed frequency BVARs
Brave, Scott A.
;
Butters, R. Andrew
;
Justiniano, Alejandro
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1692-1707
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305519
Saved in:
39
Financial nowcasts and their usefulness in macroeconomic forecasting
Knotek, Edward S.
;
Zaman, Saeed
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1708-1724
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305521
Saved in:
40
Macroeconomic news and market reaction : surprise indexes meet nowcasting
Caruso, Alberto
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1725-1734
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305522
Saved in:
41
Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks
Knüppel, Malte
;
Schultefrankenfeld, Guido
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1748-1769
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305527
Saved in:
42
DSGE forecasts of the lost recovery
Cai, Michael
;
Del Negro, Marco
;
Giannoni, Marc Paolo
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1770-1789
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305528
Saved in:
43
Residential investment and recession predictability
Aastveit, Knut Are
;
Anundsen, André Kallåk
;
Herstad, …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1790-1799
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305530
Saved in:
44
Forecasting GDP growth with NIPA aggregates : in search of core GDP
Garciga, Christian
;
Knotek, Edward S.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1814-1828
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305534
Saved in:
45
What determines forecasters' forecasting errors?
Nolte, Ingmar
;
Nolte, Sandra
;
Pohlmeier, Winfried
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 11-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300570
Saved in:
46
Forecasting the UK economy : alternative forecasting methodologies and the role of off-model information
Boneva, Lena
;
Fawcett, Nicholas
;
Masolo, Riccardo M.
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 100-120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300580
Saved in:
47
Combining forecasts : performance and coherence
Thomson, Mary E.
;
Pollock, Andrew C.
;
Önkal, Dilek
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 474-484
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300689
Saved in:
48
Nowcasting and forecasting GDP in emerging markets using global financial and macroeconomic diffusion indexes
Cepni, Oguzhan
;
Güney, Ethem
;
Swanson, Norman R.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 555-572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300700
Saved in:
49
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables
Foroni, Claudia
;
Guérin, Pierre
;
Marcellino, Massimiliano
- In:
International journal of forecasting
34
(
2018
)
4
,
pp. 774-787
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031105
Saved in:
50
A wavelet-based multivariate multiscale approach for forecasting
Rua, António
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
3
,
pp. 581-590
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011746191
Saved in:
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