Caulkins, Jonathan; Dietze, Paul; Ritter, Alison - In: Health Care Management Science 10 (2007) 2, pp. 151-162
A five-state compartment model of trends in illicit drug use in Australia is parameterized using data from multiple sources. The model reproduces historical prevalence and supports what-if analyses under the assumption that past trajectories of drug escalation and desistance persist. For fixed...