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~type_genre:"Aufsatz in Zeitschrift"
~subject:"Agent-based modeling"
~subject:"Prediction markets"
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A logarithmic market scoring rule agent-based model to evaluate prediction markets
Carvalho, Athos V. C.
;
Silveira, Douglas
;
Ely, Regis Augusto
- In:
Journal of evolutionary economics
33
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1303-1343
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014495664
Saved in:
2
Over-the-counter versus double auction in asset markets with near-zero-intelligence traders
Lu, Dong
;
Zhan, Yaosong
- In:
Journal of economic dynamics & control
143
(
2022
),
pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013539524
Saved in:
3
The wisdom of the crowd and prediction markets
Dai, Min
;
Jia, Yanwei
;
Kou, Steven
- In:
Journal of econometrics
222
(
2021
)
1,2
,
pp. 561-578
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012619744
Saved in:
4
An agent-based prediction market : a case study of xFuture in Taiwan
Chie, Bin-Tzong
;
Pai, Chi-Ling
- In:
International journal of computational economics and …
6
(
2016
)
4
,
pp. 390-412
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011704740
Saved in:
5
Moderators for partition dependence in prediction markets
Kloker, Simon
;
Straub, Tim Jochen
;
Weinhardt, Christof
- In:
Group decision and negotiation
28
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 723-756
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012121579
Saved in:
6
Improving prediction market forecasts by detecting and correcting possible over-reaction to price movements
Sung, Ming-chien
;
McDonald, David C. J.
;
Johnson, …
- In:
European journal of operational research : EJOR
272
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 389-405
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942078
Saved in:
7
The temporal evolution of mispricing in prediction markets
Restocchi, Valerio
;
McGroarty, Frank
;
Gerding, Enrico
- In:
Finance research letters
29
(
2019
),
pp. 303-307
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419128
Saved in:
8
The cost of capital in a prediction market
Grant, Andrew
;
Johnstone, David
;
Kwon, Oh Kang
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 313-320
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300632
Saved in:
9
Polls to probabilities : comparing prediction markets and opinion polls
Reade, J. James
;
Vaughan Williams, Leighton
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 336-350
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300651
Saved in:
10
Explaining variance in the accuracy of prediction markets
Strijbis, Oliver
;
Arnesen, Sveinung
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 408-419
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300662
Saved in:
11
When are prediction market prices most informative?
Brown, Alasdair
;
Reade, J. James
;
Vaughan Williams, Leighton
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 420-428
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300667
Saved in:
12
Far from the madding crowd : collective wisdom in prediction markets
Bottazzi, Giulio
;
Giachini, D.
- In:
Quantitative finance
19
(
2019
)
9
,
pp. 1461-1471
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012194798
Saved in:
13
Information flow between prediction markets, polls and media : evidence from the 2008 presidential primaries
Khan, Urmee
;
Lieli, Robert P.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
34
(
2018
)
4
,
pp. 696-710
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031084
Saved in:
14
Revisiting the issue of survivability and market efficiency with the Santa Fe Artificial Stock Market
Tsao, Chueh-Yung
;
Huang, Ya-Chi
- In:
Journal of economic interaction and coordination : JEIC
13
(
2018
)
3
,
pp. 537-560
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111496
Saved in:
15
It takes all sorts : a heterogeneous agent explanation for prediction market mispricing
Restocchi, Valerio
;
McGroarty, Frank
;
Gerding, Enrico
; …
- In:
European journal of operational research : EJOR
270
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 556-569
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011869096
Saved in:
16
Information aggregation in a prediction market for climate outcomes
Aliakbari, Elmira
;
McKitrick, Ross
- In:
Energy economics
74
(
2018
),
pp. 97-106
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011972647
Saved in:
17
An experimental analysis of information acquisition in prediction markets
Page, Lionel
;
Siemroth, Christoph
- In:
Games and economic behavior
101
(
2017
),
pp. 354-378
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011788520
Saved in:
18
Hidden profiles in corporate prediction markets : the impact of public information precision and social interactions
Qiu, Liangfei
;
Cheng, Hsing Kenneth
;
Pu, Jingchuan
- In:
Management information systems : mis quarterly
41
(
2017
)
4
,
pp. 1249-1273
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777418
Saved in:
19
Using an artificial financial market for studying a cryptocurrency market
Cocco, Luisanna
;
Concas, Giulio
;
Marchesi, Michele
- In:
Journal of economic interaction and coordination : JEIC
12
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 345-365
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011878670
Saved in:
20
Belief aggregation with automated market makers
Sethi, Rajiv
;
Wortman Vaughan, Jennifer
- In:
Computational economics
48
(
2016
)
1
,
pp. 155-178
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646619
Saved in:
21
Risk aversion in prediction markets : a framed-field experiment
Boulu-Reshef, Béatrice
;
Comeig, Irene
;
Donze, Robert
; …
- In:
Journal of business research : JBR
69
(
2016
)
11
,
pp. 5071-5075
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011589141
Saved in:
22
Trading strategies and market microstructure : evidence from a prediction market
Rothschild, David
;
Sethi, Rajiv
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
10
(
2016
)
1
,
pp. 1-29
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656556
Saved in:
23
Prediction market for disease surveillance : a case study of influenza activity
Ho, Anson T. Y.
;
Polgreen, Philip M.
;
Prendergast, Tim
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
10
(
2016
)
1
,
pp. 68-82
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011656575
Saved in:
24
Private information, overconfidence and trader returns in prediction markets
Goins, Sheila
;
Cipriano, Michael C.
;
Gruca, Thomas S.
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
9
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 1-21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547135
Saved in:
25
Mises and prediction markets: Can markets forecast?
Krasnozhon, Leonid
;
Levendis, John
- In:
The review of Austrian economics
28
(
2015
)
1
,
pp. 41-52
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482070
Saved in:
26
Determination of odds in prediction markets : coexistence of posted-offer and double-auction designs
Celik, Levent
;
Onur, Esen
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
9
(
2015
)
1
,
pp. 67-85
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346868
Saved in:
27
Do prediction markets aid defenders in a weak-link contest?
Deck, Cary A.
;
Hao, Li
;
Porter, David P.
- In:
Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO
117
(
2015
),
pp. 248-258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011572108
Saved in:
28
Prediction markets and election polling : Granger causality tests using InTrade and RealClearPolitics data
Duquette, Christopher
;
Mixon, Franklin G.
;
Cebula, …
- In:
Atlantic economic journal : AEJ
42
(
2014
)
4
,
pp. 357-366
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010517389
Saved in:
29
Prediction markets vs polls : an examination of accuracy for the 2008 and 2012 elections
Arnesen, Sveinung
;
Bergfjord, Ole
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
8
(
2014
)
3
,
pp. 24-33
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530195
Saved in:
30
Prediction markets : a literature review 2014 following Tziralis and Tatsiopoulos
Horn, Christian F.
;
Ohneberg, Michael
;
Ivens, Bjoern S.
; …
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
8
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 89-126
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530206
Saved in:
31
A behaviorally informed survey : powered market agent
Inchauspe, Jessica
;
Atanasov, Pavel
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
; …
- In:
The journal of prediction markets
8
(
2014
)
2
,
pp. 1-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010530213
Saved in:
32
Affecting policy by manipulating prediction markets : experimental evidence
Deck, Cary A.
;
Lin, Shengle
;
Porter, David P.
- In:
Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO
85
(
2013
)
1
,
pp. 48-62
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009708793
Saved in:
33
Effectively combining experimental economics and multi-agent simulation : suggestions for a procedural integration with an example from prediction markets research
Klingert, Frank M.
;
Meyer, Matthias
- In:
Computational and mathematical organization theory
18
(
2012
)
1
,
pp. 63-90
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535922
Saved in:
34
Liquidity cost of market orders in the Taiwan Stock Market : a study based on an order-driven agent-based artificial stock market
Huang, Yi-ping
;
Chen, Shu-Heng
;
Hung, Ming-chin
;
Yu, Tina
- In:
International review of financial analysis
23
(
2012
),
pp. 72-80
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690114
Saved in:
35
How to calibrate the features of a distributed artificial financial market
Shafiee, Hamed M.
;
Bokharaeian, Behrouz
;
Alaei, Hamed
- In:
Journal for international business and entrepreneurship …
5
(
2010/11
)
4
,
pp. 315-338
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009374673
Saved in:
36
Modeling and simulation of an artificial stock option market
Ecca, Sabrina
;
Marchesi, Michele
;
Setzu, Alessio
- In:
Computational economics
32
(
2008
)
1/2
,
pp. 37-53
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003755537
Saved in:
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