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International journal of theoretical and applied finance
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ECONIS (ZBW)
143
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1
Non-Gaussian models for CoVaR estimation
Bianchi, Michele Leonardo
;
De Luca, Giovanni
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 391-404
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462788
Saved in:
2
Forecasting extreme financial risk : a score-driven approach
Fuentes, Fernanda
;
Herrera, Rodrigo
;
Clements, Adam
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 720-735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465107
Saved in:
3
Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools
Garratt, Anthony
;
Henckel, Timo
;
Vahey, Shaun P.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 736-753
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465143
Saved in:
4
Time-varying variance and skewness in realized volatility measures
Opschoor, Anne
;
Lucas, André
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 827-840
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465151
Saved in:
5
False dichotomy alert : improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk
Tetlock, Philip E.
;
Lu, Yunzi
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1021-1025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465214
Saved in:
6
Static and dynamic models for multivariate distribution forecasts : proper scoring rule tests of factor-quantile versus multivariate GARCH models
Alexander, Carol
;
Han, Yang
;
Meng, Xiaochun
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1078-1096
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465245
Saved in:
7
Bayesian forecast combination using time-varying features
Li, Li
;
Kang, Yanfei
;
Li, Feng
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1287-1302
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465281
Saved in:
8
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of extremes using continuous ranked probability score distributions
Taillardat, Maxime
;
Fougères, Anne-Laure
;
Naveau, Philippe
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1448-1459
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465293
Saved in:
9
Distributional regression and its evaluation with the CRPS : bounds and convergence of the minimax risk
Pic, Romain
;
Dombry, Clément
;
Naveau, Philippe
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1564-1572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465329
Saved in:
10
Internal consistency of household inflation expectations : point forecasts vs. density forecasts
Zhao, Yongchen
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1713-1735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465346
Saved in:
11
Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation : a model combination approach
Knotek, Edward S.
;
Zaman, Saeed
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1736-1760
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465348
Saved in:
12
Forecasting in GARCH models with polynomially modified innovations
Vacca, Gianmarco
;
Zoia, Maria Grazia
;
Bagnato, Luca
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
1
,
pp. 117-141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347743
Saved in:
13
On single point forecasts for fat-tailed variables
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
;
Bar-Yam, Yaneer
;
Cirillo, Pasquale
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 413-422
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348601
Saved in:
14
A white-boxed ISSM approach to estimate uncertainty distributions of Walmart sales
De Rezende, Rafael B.
;
Egert, Katharina
;
Marin, Ignacio
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
4
,
pp. 1460-1467
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014381111
Saved in:
15
The uncertainty track : machine learning, statistical modeling, synthesis
Ord, John Keith
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
4
,
pp. 1526-1530
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014381150
Saved in:
16
Evaluating quantile forecasts in the M5 uncertainty competition
Chen, Zhi
;
Gaba, Anil
;
Tsetlin, Ilia
;
Winkler, Robert L.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
4
,
pp. 1531-1545
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014381153
Saved in:
17
M5 competition uncertainty : overdispersion, distributional forecasting, GAMLSS, and beyond
Ziel, Florian
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
4
,
pp. 1546-1554
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014381160
Saved in:
18
Analytic moments for GJR-GARCH (1, 1) processes
Alexander, Carol
;
Lazar, Emese
;
Stanescu, Silvia
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
1
,
pp. 105-124
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012692629
Saved in:
19
Option implied VIX, Skew and Kurtosis term structures
Madan, Dilip B.
;
Wang, King
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
24
(
2021
)
5
,
pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012662046
Saved in:
20
Dynamic probabilistic forecasting with uncertainty
Benth, Fred Espen
;
Kutrolli, Gleda
;
Stefani, Silvana
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
24
(
2021
)
6/7
,
pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012807773
Saved in:
21
Observation-driven models for realized variances and overnight returns applied to value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting
Opschoor, Anne
;
Lucas, André
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
2
,
pp. 622-633
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792858
Saved in:
22
Conditional value-at-risk forecasts of an optimal foreign currency portfolio
Kim, Dongwhan
;
Kang, Kyu Ho
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
2
,
pp. 838-861
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792873
Saved in:
23
Forecasting macroeconomic risks
Adams, Patrick A.
;
Adrian, Tobias
;
Boyarchenko, Nina
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
3
,
pp. 1173-1191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794835
Saved in:
24
Does judgment improve macroeconomic density forecasts?
Galvão, Ana Beatriz C.
;
Garratt, Anthony
;
Mitchell, James
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
3
,
pp. 1247-1260
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794855
Saved in:
25
Factor copula model for portfolio credit risk
Kim, Sung Ik
;
Kim, Young Shin
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
24
(
2021
)
4
,
pp. 1-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012652691
Saved in:
26
Coherent risk measures and normal mixture distributions with applications in portfolio optimization
Shi, Xiang
;
Kim, Young Shin
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
24
(
2021
)
4
,
pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012652709
Saved in:
27
Predicting loss given default in leasing : a closer look at models and variable selection
Kaposty, Florian
;
Kriebel, Johannes Maximilian
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 248-266
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012414715
Saved in:
28
Forecast combinations for value at risk and expected shortfall
Taylor, James W.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 428-441
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415069
Saved in:
29
Comparing density forecasts in a risk management context
Diks, Cees G. H.
;
Fang, Hao
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 531-551
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415217
Saved in:
30
On the statistical differences between binary forecasts and real-world payoffs
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1228-1240
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546083
Saved in:
31
Information flow dependence in financial markets
Michaelsen, Markus
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
23
(
2020
)
5
,
pp. 1-34
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496727
Saved in:
32
Multivariate distributions for financial returns
Madan, Dilip B.
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
23
(
2020
)
6
,
pp. 1-32
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496775
Saved in:
33
Comparing the forecasting performances of linear models for electricity prices with high RES penetration
Gianfreda, Angelica
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
;
Rossini, Luca
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 974-986
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497125
Saved in:
34
Predicting LGD distributions with mixed continuous and discrete ordinal outcomes
Hwang, Ruey-Ching
;
Chu, Chih-Kang
;
Yu, Kaizhi
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 1003-1022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497162
Saved in:
35
Sinh-acceleration: efficient evaluation of probability distributions, option pricing, and Monte Carlo simulations
Bojarčenko, Svetlana I.
;
Levendorskij, Sergej Z.
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
22
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 1-49
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019776
Saved in:
36
Defaultable claims in switching models with partial information
Gapeev, Pavel V.
;
Jeanblanc, Monique
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
22
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030897
Saved in:
37
Option pricing with heavy-tailed distributions of logarithmic returns
Basnarkov, Lasko
;
Stojkoski, Viktor
;
Utkovski, Zoran
; …
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
22
(
2019
)
7
,
pp. 1-35
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012153313
Saved in:
38
Change-point analysis of asset price bubbles with power-law hazard function
Lynch, Christopher
;
Mestel, Benjamin
- In:
International journal of theoretical and applied finance
22
(
2019
)
7
,
pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012153466
Saved in:
39
Forecasting dynamic return distributions based on ordered binary choice
Anatolyev, Stanislav
;
Baruník, Jozef
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 823-835
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305181
Saved in:
40
Quasi ex-ante inflation forecast uncertainty
Charemza, Wojciech
;
Díaz, Carlos
;
Makarova, Svetlana D.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 994-1007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305215
Saved in:
41
A comprehensive evaluation of macroeconomic forecasting methods
Carriero, Andrea
;
Galvão, Ana Beatriz C.
;
Kapetanios, …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1226-1239
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305256
Saved in:
42
Forecasting of density functions with an application to cross-sectional and intraday returns
Kokoszka, Piotr
;
Miao, Hong
;
Petersen, Alexander
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1304-1317
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305317
Saved in:
43
Assessing the uncertainty in central banks' inflation outlooks
Knüppel, Malte
;
Schultefrankenfeld, Guido
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
4
,
pp. 1748-1769
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305527
Saved in:
44
Quantile forecast optimal combination to enhance safety stock estimation
Trapero, Juan R.
;
Cardós, Manuel
;
Kourentzes, Nikolaos
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 239-250
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300607
Saved in:
45
Forecasting cryptocurrencies under model and parameter instability
Catania, Leopoldo
;
Grassi, Stefano
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 485-501
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300691
Saved in:
46
Euro area real-time density forecasting with financial or labor market frictions
McAdam, Peter
;
Warne, Anders
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 580-600
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300702
Saved in:
47
How much data do you need? : an operational, pre-asymptotic metric for fat-tailedness
Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 677-686
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300715
Saved in:
48
Tales from tails : on the empirical distributions of forecasting errors and their implication to risk
Spiliotis, Evangelos
;
Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
2
,
pp. 687-698
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300716
Saved in:
49
Dynamics of financial returns densities : a functional approach applied to the Bovespa intraday index
Horta, Eduardo
;
Ziegelmann, Flávio A.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
34
(
2018
)
1
,
pp. 75-88
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030843
Saved in:
50
Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?
Clements, Michael P.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
34
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 181-198
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030891
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