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International journal of forecasting
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1
Forecasting South Korea's presidential election via multiparty dynamic Bayesian modeling
Kang, Seungwoo
;
Oh, Hee-Seok
- In:
International journal of forecasting
40
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 124-141
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450263
Saved in:
2
Aggregating qualitative district-level campaign assessments to forecast election results : evidence from Japan
Umeda, Michio
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 956-966
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465169
Saved in:
3
Embrace the differences : revisiting the PollyVote method of combining forecasts for U.S. presidential elections (2004 to 2020)
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 170-177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014462773
Saved in:
4
Regional heterogeneity and US presidential elections : real-time 2020 forecasts and evaluation
Ahmed, Rashad
;
Pesaran, M. Hashem
- In:
International journal of forecasting
38
(
2022
)
2
,
pp. 662-687
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348692
Saved in:
5
Forecasting government support in Irish general elections : opinion polls and structural models
Quinlan, Stephen
;
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
4
,
pp. 1654-1665
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013274326
Saved in:
6
Forecasting multiparty by-elections using Dirichlet regression
Hanretty, Chris
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
4
,
pp. 1666-1676
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013274328
Saved in:
7
Modeling undecided voters to forecast elections : from bandwagon behavior and the spiral of silence perspective
Liu, Yezheng
;
Ye, Chang
;
Sun, Jianshan
;
Jiang, Yuanchun
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
2
,
pp. 461-483
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792844
Saved in:
8
A stochastic differential equation approach to the analysis of the 2017 and 2019 UK general election polls
Levene, Mark
;
Fenner, Trevor
- In:
International journal of forecasting
37
(
2021
)
3
,
pp. 1227-1234
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794848
Saved in:
9
A two-stage model to forecast elections in new democracies
Bunker, Kenneth
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
4
,
pp. 1407-1419
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546797
Saved in:
10
Model-based pre-election polling for national and sub-national outcomes in the US and UK
Lauderdale, Benjamin E.
;
Bailey, Delia
;
Blumenau, Jack
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 399-413
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415042
Saved in:
11
Forecasting election results by studying brand importance in online news
Colladon, Andrea Fronzetti
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
2
,
pp. 414-427
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415068
Saved in:
12
Election forecasts : cracking the Danish case
Nadeau, Richard
;
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 892-898
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496877
Saved in:
13
Election forecasting : too far out?
Jennings, Will
;
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
;
Wlezien, Christopher
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 949-962
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497089
Saved in:
14
Measuring public opinion via digital footprints
Cerina, Roberto
;
Duch, Raymond M.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
36
(
2020
)
3
,
pp. 987-1002
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012497130
Saved in:
15
Accuracy of German federal election forecasts, 2013 and 2017
Graefe, Andreas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
3
,
pp. 868-877
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012305185
Saved in:
16
Crowdsourcing the vote : new horizons in citizen forecasting
Temporão, Mickael
;
Dufresne, Yannick
;
Savoie, Justin
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 1-10
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300567
Saved in:
17
Polls to probabilities : comparing prediction markets and opinion polls
Reade, J. James
;
Vaughan Williams, Leighton
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 336-350
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300651
Saved in:
18
Explaining variance in the accuracy of prediction markets
Strijbis, Oliver
;
Arnesen, Sveinung
- In:
International journal of forecasting
35
(
2019
)
1
,
pp. 408-419
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300662
Saved in:
19
Affect versus cognition: wishful thinking on election day : an analysis using exit poll data from Belgium
Stiers, Dieter
;
Dassonneville, Ruth
- In:
International journal of forecasting
34
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 199-215
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030893
Saved in:
20
Social networks and citizen election forecasting : the more friends the better
Leiter, Debra
;
Murr, Andreas
;
Rascón-Ramírez, Ericka
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
34
(
2018
)
2
,
pp. 235-248
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030899
Saved in:
21
Information flow between prediction markets, polls and media : evidence from the 2008 presidential primaries
Khan, Urmee
;
Lieli, Robert P.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
34
(
2018
)
4
,
pp. 696-710
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031084
Saved in:
22
Forecasting elections at the constituency level : a correction-combination procedure
Munzert, Simon
- In:
International journal of forecasting
33
(
2017
)
2
,
pp. 467-481
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011922160
Saved in:
23
Origins of Presidential poll aggregation : a perspective from 2004 to 2012
Wang, Samuel S.-H.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 898-909
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474634
Saved in:
24
A simple approach to projecting the electoral college
Putnam, Joshua T.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 910-915
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474637
Saved in:
25
Combining forecasts for elections : accurate, relevant, and timely
Rothschild, David
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 952-964
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474749
Saved in:
26
Under-performing, over-performing, or just performing? : the limitations of fundamentals-based presidential election forecasting
Lauderdale, Benjamin E.
;
Linzer, Drew
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 965-979
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474752
Saved in:
27
Forecasting elections with non-representative polls
Wang, Wei
;
Rothschild, David
;
Goel, Sharad
;
Gelman, Andrew
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 980-991
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474763
Saved in:
28
Can we vote with our tweet? : on the perennial difficulty of election forecasting with social media
Huberty, Mark
- In:
International journal of forecasting
31
(
2015
)
3
,
pp. 992-1007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474765
Saved in:
29
Forecasting Austrian national elections : the grand coalition model
Aichholzer, Julian
;
Willmann, Magdalena
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2013
)
1
,
pp. 55-64
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243643
Saved in:
30
Combining forecasts : an application to elections
Graefe, Andreas
;
Armstrong, Jon Scott
;
Jones, Randall …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
30
(
2013
)
1
,
pp. 43-54
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243645
Saved in:
31
Forecasting runoff elections using candidate evaluations from first round exit polls
Selb, Peter
;
Herrmann, Michael
;
Munzert, Simon
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
29
(
2013
)
4
,
pp. 541-547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010212478
Saved in:
32
Election forecasting in Lithuania : the case of municipal elections
Jastramkskis, Mažvydas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
28
(
2012
)
4
,
pp. 822-829
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658310
Saved in:
33
Forecasting Brazilian presidential elections : solving the N problem
Turgeon, Mathieu
;
Renno, Lucio R.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
28
(
2012
)
4
,
pp. 804-812
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658314
Saved in:
34
Japanese election forecasting : classic tests of a hard case
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
;
Tien, Charles
- In:
International journal of forecasting
28
(
2012
)
4
,
pp. 797-803
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658316
Saved in:
35
Election forecasting under opaque conditions : a model for francophone Belgium, 1981 - 2010
Dassonneville, Ruth
;
Hooghe, Marc
- In:
International journal of forecasting
28
(
2012
)
4
,
pp. 777-788
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658324
Saved in:
36
Forecasting Spanish elections
Magalhães, Pedro C.
;
Aguiar-Conraria, Luís
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
28
(
2012
)
4
,
pp. 769-776
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658334
Saved in:
37
Editorial: Election forecasting in neglected democracies : an introductrion
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
;
Bélanger, Éric
- In:
International journal of forecasting
28
(
2012
)
4
,
pp. 767-768
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658339
Saved in:
38
Special selection: Election forecasting in neglected deomcracies
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
(
contributor
)
-
2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009658342
Saved in:
39
Forecasting elections in Turkey
Toros, Emre
- In:
International journal of forecasting
27
(
2011
)
4
,
pp. 1248-1258
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009316789
Saved in:
40
European election forecasting
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
(
contributor
)
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 9-115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952097
Saved in:
41
Electoral forecasting in France : a multi-equation solution
Nadeau, Richard
;
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
;
Bélanger, Éric
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 11-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952101
Saved in:
42
Bread and butter à la française : multiparty forecasts of the French legislative vote : (1981 -2007)
Arzheimer, Kai
;
Jones Evans, Jocelyn
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 19-31
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952104
Saved in:
43
Testing the accuracy of the Downs' spatial voter model on forecasting the winners of the French parliamentary elections in May-June 2007
Lemennicier, Bertrand
;
Katir-Lescieux, Honorine
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 32-41
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952107
Saved in:
44
The chancellor model : forecasting German elections
Norpoth, Helmut
;
Gschwend, Thomas
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 42-53
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952109
Saved in:
45
Election cycles and electoral forecasting in Italy : 1994 - 2008
Bellucci, Paolo
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 54-67
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952313
Saved in:
46
Improving predictive accuracy of exit polls
Pavia, Jose M.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 68-81
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952314
Saved in:
47
Comparing forecast models of Radical Right voting in four European countries : 1973- 2008
Jones Evans, Jocelyn
;
Ivaldi, Gilles
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 82-97
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952315
Saved in:
48
Forecasting partisan dynamics in Europe
Jérôme, Bruno
;
Jerôme-Speziari, Véronique
- In:
International journal of forecasting
26
(
2010
)
1
,
pp. 98-115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952316
Saved in:
49
Special issue: US presidential election forecasting
Campbell, James E.
(
contributor
); …
-
2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764057
Saved in:
50
US presidential election forecasting : an introduction
Campbell, James E.
;
Lewis-Beck, Michael S.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
24
(
2008
)
2
,
pp. 189-192
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003764064
Saved in:
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