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subject:"Prognoseverfahren"
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ECONIS (ZBW)
302
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1
Comparison of Value at Risk (VaR) multivariate forecast models
Müller, Fernanda Maria
;
Righi, Marcelo Brutti
- In:
Computational economics
63
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 75-110
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471980
Saved in:
2
Bayesian inference for mixed Gaussian GARCH-type model by Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm
Liang, Rubing
;
Qin, Binbin
;
Xia, Qiang
- In:
Computational economics
63
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 193-220
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472071
Saved in:
3
Forecasting Value at Risk and expected shortfall of foreign exchange rate volatility of major African currencies via GARCH and dynamic conditional correlation analysis
Afuecheta, Emmanuel
;
Okorie, Idika E.
;
Nadarajah, Saralees
- In:
Computational economics
63
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 271-304
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472109
Saved in:
4
Forecasting VaR and ES in emerging markets : the role of time-varying higher moments
Trung Hai Le
- In:
Journal of forecasting
43
(
2024
)
2
,
pp. 402-414
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014475347
Saved in:
5
Forecasting VaRs via hybrid EVT with normal and non-normal filters : a comparative analysis from the Chinese stock market
Tong, Bin
;
Diao, Xundi
;
Li, Xiaoping
- In:
Pacific-Basin finance journal
83
(
2024
),
pp. 1-28
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491148
Saved in:
6
Forecasting volatility of stock indices : improved GARCH-type models through combined weighted volatility measure and weighted volatility indicators
Zhi De Khoo
;
Kok Haur Ng
;
You Beng Koh
;
Kooi Huat Ng
- In:
The North American journal of economics and finance : a …
71
(
2024
),
pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014492106
Saved in:
7
Forecasting value-at-risk and expected shortfall in emerging market : does forecast combination help?
Trung Hai Le
- In:
The journal of risk finance : JRF
25
(
2024
)
1
,
pp. 160-177
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014504681
Saved in:
8
CRPS learning
Berrisch, Jonathan
;
Ziel, Florian
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
2,3
,
pp. 1-24
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471798
Saved in:
9
On the aggregation of probability assessments : regularized mixtures of predictive densities for Eurozone inflation and real interest rates
Diebold, Francis X.
;
Shin, Minchul
;
Zhang, Boyuan
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
2,3
,
pp. 1-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471814
Saved in:
10
A flexible predictive density combination for large financial data sets in regular and crisis periods
Casarin, Roberto
;
Grassi, Stefano
;
Ravazzolo, Francesco
; …
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
2,3
,
pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471818
Saved in:
11
Dynamic factor copula models with estimated cluster assignments
Oh, Dong Hwan
;
Patton, Andrew J.
- In:
Journal of econometrics
237
(
2023
)
2,3
,
pp. 1-23
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014471820
Saved in:
12
Can average skewness really predict financial returns? : the euro area case
Annaert, Jan
;
De Ceuster, Marc J.
;
Cappellen, Jef van
- In:
Finance research letters
52
(
2023
),
pp. 1-8
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014472219
Saved in:
13
Does the tail risk index matter in forecasting downside risk?
Hung, Jui-Cheng
;
Liu, Hung-Chun
;
Yang, J. Jimmy
- In:
International journal of finance & economics : IJFE
28
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 3451-3466
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327761
Saved in:
14
Density forecasts of inflation : a quantile regression forest approach
Lenza, Michele
;
Moutachaker, Ines
;
Paredes, Joan
-
2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014328189
Saved in:
15
Economic-statistical design of BayesianX control chart based on the predictive distribution
Seirani, Razieh
;
Torabian, Mohsen
;
Behzadi, Mohammad Hassan
- In:
International journal of quality & reliability management
40
(
2023
)
8
,
pp. 1925-1939
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332208
Saved in:
16
Modelling and forecasting COVID-19 stock returns using asymmetric GARCH-ICAPM with mixture and heavy-tailed distributions
Rewat Khanthaporn
;
Wichitaksorn, Nuttanan
- In:
Applied economics
55
(
2023
)
51
,
pp. 6042-6061
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335891
Saved in:
17
Censored density forecasts : production and evaluation
Mitchell, James
;
Weale, Martin
- In:
Journal of applied econometrics
38
(
2023
)
5
,
pp. 714-734
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338140
Saved in:
18
Density and risk prediction with non-Gaussian COMFORT models
Paolella, Marc S.
;
Polak, Pawel
- In:
Annals of financial economics
18
(
2023
)
1
,
pp. 1-37
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442390
Saved in:
19
On the predictive ability of conditional market skewness
Serna, Gregorio
- In:
The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal …
91
(
2023
),
pp. 186-191
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014461560
Saved in:
20
A method for predicting VaR by aggregating generalized distributions driven by the dynamic conditional score
Song, Shijia
;
Li, Handong
- In:
The quarterly review of economics and finance : journal …
88
(
2023
),
pp. 203-214
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014428040
Saved in:
21
An inferential analysis for the Weibull-G family of distributions under progressively censored data
Shukla, Ashish Kumar
;
Soni, Sakshi
;
Kumar, Kapil
- In:
Opsearch : journal of the Operational Research Society …
60
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1488-1524
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383811
Saved in:
22
Modeling the time-varying dynamic term structure of interest rates
Choi, Ahjin
;
Kang, Kyu Ho
- In:
Journal of banking & finance
153
(
2023
),
pp. 1-14
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490339
Saved in:
23
Using a skewed exponential power mixture for value-at-risk and conditional value-at-risk forecasts to comply with market risk regulation
Hassani, Samir Saissi
;
Dionne, Georges
- In:
Journal of risk : JOR
25
(
2023
)
6
,
pp. 73-103
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487244
Saved in:
24
Conditional and unconditional intraday value-at-risk models : an application to high-frequency tick-by-tick exchange-traded fund data
Nunkoo, Houmera Bibi Sabera
;
Sookia, Noor Ul Hacq
; …
- In:
Journal of risk : JOR
26
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1-31
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014487297
Saved in:
25
Yield spread selection in predicting recession probabilities
Choi, Jaehyuk
;
Ge, Desheng
;
Kang, Kyu Ho
;
Sohn, Sungbin
- In:
Journal of forecasting
42
(
2023
)
7
,
pp. 1772-1785
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432757
Saved in:
26
Mixed-frequency Growth-at-Risk with the MIDAS-QR method : evidence from China
Xu, Qifa
;
Xu, Mengnan
;
Jiang, Cuixia
;
Fu, Weizhong
- In:
Economic systems
47
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483068
Saved in:
27
Distributional neural networks for electricity price forecasting
Marcjasz, Grzegorz
;
Narajewski, Michał Andrzej
;
Weron, …
- In:
Energy economics
125
(
2023
),
pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014484407
Saved in:
28
Forecasting extreme financial risk : a score-driven approach
Fuentes, Fernanda
;
Herrera, Rodrigo
;
Clements, Adam
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 720-735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465107
Saved in:
29
Empirically-transformed linear opinion pools
Garratt, Anthony
;
Henckel, Timo
;
Vahey, Shaun P.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 736-753
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465143
Saved in:
30
False dichotomy alert : improving subjective-probability estimates vs. raising awareness of systemic risk
Tetlock, Philip E.
;
Lu, Yunzi
;
Mellers, Barbara A.
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 1021-1025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465214
Saved in:
31
Static and dynamic models for multivariate distribution forecasts : proper scoring rule tests of factor-quantile versus multivariate GARCH models
Alexander, Carol
;
Han, Yang
;
Meng, Xiaochun
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1078-1096
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465245
Saved in:
32
Bayesian forecast combination using time-varying features
Li, Li
;
Kang, Yanfei
;
Li, Feng
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1287-1302
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465281
Saved in:
33
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts of extremes using continuous ranked probability score distributions
Taillardat, Maxime
;
Fougères, Anne-Laure
;
Naveau, Philippe
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 1448-1459
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465293
Saved in:
34
Distributional regression and its evaluation with the CRPS : bounds and convergence of the minimax risk
Pic, Romain
;
Dombry, Clément
;
Naveau, Philippe
; …
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1564-1572
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465329
Saved in:
35
Internal consistency of household inflation expectations : point forecasts vs. density forecasts
Zhao, Yongchen
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1713-1735
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465346
Saved in:
36
Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation : a model combination approach
Knotek, Edward S.
;
Zaman, Saeed
- In:
International journal of forecasting
39
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1736-1760
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014465348
Saved in:
37
Average skewness in global equity markets
Atilgan, Yigit
;
Demirtas, K. Ozgur
;
Günaydin, A. Doruk
; …
- In:
International review of finance : the official journal …
23
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 245-271
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014326300
Saved in:
38
Density forecasts in panel data models : a semiparametric Bayesian perspective
Liu, Laura
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 349-363
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448172
Saved in:
39
Nonparametric prediction distribution from resolution-wise regression with heterogeneous data
Li, Jialu
;
Zhang, Wan
;
Wang, Peiyao
;
Li, Qizhai
;
Zhang, Kai
- In:
Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a …
41
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 1157-1172
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014448590
Saved in:
40
On the order-up-to policy with intermittent integer demand and logically consistent forecasts
Rostami-Tabar, Bahman
;
Disney, Stephen M.
- In:
International journal of production economics
257
(
2023
),
pp. 1-15
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014249675
Saved in:
41
The sum of all fears : forecasting international returns using option-implied risk measures
Gagnon, Marie-Hélène
;
Power, Gabriel J.
;
Toupin, Dominique
- In:
Journal of banking & finance
146
(
2023
),
pp. 1-22
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248207
Saved in:
42
An empirical investigation of multiperiod tail risk forecasting models
Zhang, Ning
;
Su, Xiaoman
;
Qi, Shuyuan
- In:
International review of financial analysis
86
(
2023
),
pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014248332
Saved in:
43
Conditional inferences based on vine copulas with applications to credit spread data of corporate bonds
Pan, Shenyi
;
Joe, Harry
;
Li, Guofu
- In:
Journal of financial econometrics
21
(
2023
)
3
,
pp. 714-741
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314788
Saved in:
44
Endogenous lemon markets : risky choices and adverse selection
Lichtig, Avi
;
Weksler, Ran
- In:
Journal of the European Economic Association : JEEA
21
(
2023
)
2
,
pp. 413-454
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316802
Saved in:
45
The impact of financial shocks on the forecast distribution of output and inflation
Forni, Mario
;
Gambetti, Luca
;
Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolo
; …
-
2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281484
Saved in:
46
A Bayesian approach for more reliable tail risk forecasts
Li, Dan
;
Clements, Adam
;
Drovandi, Christopher
- In:
Journal of financial stability
64
(
2023
),
pp. 1-22
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284929
Saved in:
47
Does expected idiosyncratic skewness of firms' profit predict the cross-section of stock returns? : evidence from China
Zhang, Qun
;
Zhang, Peihui
;
Liu, Hao
- In:
Research in international business and finance
64
(
2023
),
pp. 1-26
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014266342
Saved in:
48
Persistence of jump-induced tail risk and limits to arbitrage
Chow, K. Victor
;
John, Kose
;
Li, Jingrui
;
Sopranzetti, …
- In:
Quantitative finance
23
(
2023
)
4
,
pp. 705-719
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304321
Saved in:
49
Monitoring value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasts
Hoga, Yannick
;
Demetrescu, Matei
- In:
Management science : journal of the Institute for …
69
(
2023
)
5
,
pp. 2954-2971
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305469
Saved in:
50
Forecasting tail risk measures for financial time series : an extreme value approach with covariates
James, Robert
;
Leung, Henry
;
Leung, Jessica Wai Yin
; …
- In:
Journal of empirical finance
71
(
2023
),
pp. 29-50
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014292519
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