This paper develops a novel measure of state fragility: the probability of state failure. We define state failure as the inability to perform core functions and operationalize it through observable breakdowns- conflict, territorial control, institutional deficiency, and public service...

In Brazil and around the world, the recent increase in the number of temporary teachers in public school systems is remarkable, but its impact on the quality of education remains unknown. Based on Brazilian evidence - including data from the School Census, (basic education development index...

• Europe must urgently strengthen its defence capabilities and secure strategic autonomy to avoid vulnerability to external pressures. • The proposal outlines a European Future of Defence Architecture focusing on next generation military technologies and strategic enablers (like AI, cyber,...

In this study, we explore the relationship between town size and subjective well-being (SWB) in Latin America. We utilize data from the Latinobarómetro survey from 2005 to 2015, employing multilevel modeling to analyze individual responses to life satisfaction as an indicator of SWB. We refine...

In the public sector, employee rewards have not kept pace with time and fail to keep up with shifts in the workforce and societal expectations. This study aims to understand the public sector's reward system and reward management. The data were gathered through standardised, open-ended...

The yield curve is widely regarded as a powerful descriptor of the economy and market expectations. A common approach to its statistical representation relies on a small number of factors summarizing the curve, which can then be used to forecast real economic activity. We argue that optimal...

With public debt at around 130% of GDP, Senegal’s options are limited: there are no good solutions. This paper reviews the constraints and difficult choices the government faces in managing the debt crisis. We explore two possible paths. In the first approach, the government seeks to avoid...

We examine how individuals update their views on climate change when exposed to competing advocacy or skeptical signals on social media. In a representative survey experiment of 1,633 adults in Italy, respondents were randomly assigned to one of three conditions: (1) exposure to climate-advocacy...

In this study, we use data from the recent round of the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) to estimate the effect of son preference on reproductive behaviour in Uzbekistan. We find strong evidence of differential stopping and spacing behaviour among Uzbek women. Women are significantly...

In this study, we use data from the recent round of the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) to estimate the effect of son preference on reproductive behaviour in Uzbekistan. We find strong evidence of differential stopping and spacing behaviour among Uzbek women. Women are significantly...