We test whether forecast bias affects individual investors' stock trading by combining bias measures from laboratory experiments with administrative trade data. Forecast bias is positively associated with past excess returns of purchased stocks: Compared to contrarians, extrapolators purchase...

The global energy transition is reshaping commodity demand, yet its implications for commodity risk transmission remain unclear. We analyze connectedness among Energy Transition Metals (ETMs) - a subset of metals that are key inputs in clean energy technologies - energy commodities, and...

The aim of this report is, first, to inform about the current and projected changes to heat stress hazard and exposure as a result of climate change, particularly in urban areas; second, highlight the socioeconomic impacts of heat, including on human health, labor productivity, and mortality;...

Extreme temperatures threaten agriculture and exacerbate global food insecurity, yet their direct impact on dietary choices remains poorly understood. We provide novel evidence of how short-term exposures to extreme temperatures affect macronutrient intake in China. We show that both hot and...