Dai, Zhifeng; Zhu, Haoyang; Chang, Xiaoming; Wen, Fenghua - In: Financial innovation : FIN 11 (2025), pp. 1-35
This paper proposes a new predictor by calculating the difference between the Japanese candlestick's upper and lower shadows (ULD) constructed from CBOE volatility index (VIX) data. ULD is a powerful predictor for future stock returns, and higher ULD leads to the subsequent decline of stock...