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Who shirks at work? : an application of machine learning to time use data

Gimenez-Nadal, José Ignacio; Molina, José Alberto; … - 2026

Worker productivity depends not only on hours worked, but also on how work time is actually used, and time-use evidence shows that non-work at work is non-trivial. This paper provides a data-driven characterization of shirking, and studies which observable characteristics best predict shirking...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015616882

The survey-based output gap and input gap

Kamada, Koichiro - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015616966

A simple method for estimating multiple natural rates simultaneously : estimation of Japan's potential output and natural foreign exchange rate

Kamada, Koichiro - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015616967

Predicting university dropouts : evidence on the value of student expectations and motivation

Epper, Thomas; Ibsen, Kristoffer Holst Kroustrup; Koch, … - 2026

University dropout is costly, making it a policy priority to identify factors that predict dropout. Using a survey experiment with incoming first-year students linked to long-run administrative outcomes, we assess which information improves dropout prediction beyond standard university records....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015616999

Approach to estimating confidence intervals for a business cycle

Martinez-Rivera, Wilmer; Hernandez-Bejarano, Manuel Dario - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015617579

Price elasticity of residential natural gas demand : evidence from population microdata in Ireland

Wade, Brendan; Carthy, Philip; Farrell, Niall - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015618011

A new IV estimator of a panel VAR(p) model

Mehic, Adrian; Nordström, Marcus - 2026

We propose a novel dynamic panel estimator. Different from the commonly used difference and system GMM, our proposed estimator requires only one of the crosssectional dimension (N) or the time dimension (T) to grow large to be asymptotically unbiased. This improves reliability in panels with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015618071

Housing wealth and monetary policy transmission : cross-country evidence

Di Casola, Paola; Grothe, Magdalena - 2026

This paper quantifies the role of housing wealth in the transmission of monetary policy to consumption in 20 advanced economies. Using Bayesian VAR models we identify structural shocks with a novel combination of sign and maximum forecast error variance restrictions, isolating the housing wealth...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015618097

Incorporating micro data into macro models using pseudo VARs

Koop, Gary; McIntyre, Stuart; Mitchell, James; Wu, Ping - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015618215

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Incorporating micro data into macro models using pseudo VARs

Koop, Gary; McIntyre, Stuart; Mitchell, James; Wu, Ping - 2026

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Exploring personality and well-being in older couples : APIM and DRSA models

Chełchowska, Milena - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015618426