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Gerlach, Stefan (ed.); Gnan, Ernest (ed.); Ulbrich, Jens (ed.) - Conference on ESRB at 1 <1, 2011, Berlin>; SUERF - The …; … - 2012

SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum, the Deutsche Bundesbank and the Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS) took the opportunity of the first anniversary of this new institution to organise a joint conference in Berlin on 8-9 November 2011. The purpose of this event was...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011711529

An affine multifactor model with macro factors for the German term structure: Changing results during the recent crises

Halberstadt, Arne; Stapf, Jelena - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2012

Using arbitrage-free affine models, we analyze the dynamics of German bond yields and risk premia for the period 1999 to 2010 (EMU). We estimate two model specifications, one with only latent factors, and another one with a Taylor-type rule comprising a price and a real activity factor drawn...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957117

Inflation, deflation, and uncertainty: What drives euro area option-implied inflation expectations and are they still anchored in the sovereign debt crisis?

Scharnagl, Michael; Stapf, Jelena - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2014

We tackle two questions in this paper: In the sovereign debt crisis, what moves the euro area inflation outlook and has … options on the euro area harmonized index of consumer prices provides us with the full distribution of inflation expectations …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957128

Price discovery on traded inflation expectations: does the financial crisis matter?

Schulz, Alexander; Stapf, Jelena - Deutsche Bundesbank - 2009

break-even inflation rates in the euro area and the US. For maturities up to 5 years new information comes from both the … swap and the bond markets. For longer maturities the swap market provides less and less information in the euro area. In …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005049667