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The paper discusses some widely used methods for estimating output gaps based on aggregated datafor the Euro … methods commonly used have only limited information content for inflation forecasting in the Euro-zone. Conclusions for … die Euro-Zone. Obwohl die Methoden einige wichtige gemeinsame Eigenschaften aufweisen, zeigen auch sie erhebliche …
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The paper analyses whether business cycle fluctuations affect long-run growth. This hypothesis is tested using quarterly time series for the G7-countries. A vector-autoregressive model containing total factor productivity and a survey-based direct measure of the business cycle is estimated. In...
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