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This paper seeks to investigate the time-varying conditional correlations to the crude oil futures contract returns and the private Credit Default Swap market returns of Germany and France. We employ a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228882
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This paper argues that transparency-boosting measures specifically tailored to commodity and commodity derivatives markets are much needed. In particular, encouraging the creation of a clearing infrastructure for OTC commodity and commodity derivatives markets would be desirable. Moreover, EU...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110696
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141469
The movements in oil prices are very complex and, therefore, seem to be unpredictable. However, one of the main challenges facing econometric models is to forecast such seemingly unpredictable economic series. Traditional linear structural models have not been promising when used for oil price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094285
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094836
The study examines the intraday volatility spillover between the exchange rate, gold, and crude oil using the Dynamic Generalized Conditional Correlation GARCH model (DCC GARCH) and the BEKK GARCH model. We investigate the spillover effects using the Diebold and Yilmaz, 2012 model to gain a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502887
In this paper, we introduce the concept of statistical arbitrage through the definition of a mean-reverting trading strategy that captures persistent anomalies in long-run relationships among assets. We model the statistical arbitrage proceeding in three steps: (1) to identify mispricings in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014637240
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012194325