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-time data. We find that such economic news in the United States, Germany and the euro area have indeed been a driving force … behind daily US dollar - euro/DEM exchange rate developments in the period 1993-2003. The larger importance of US … macroeconomic news is at least partly explained by their earlier release time compared to corresponding German and euro area news …
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We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....
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