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This paper is concerned with testing the time series implications of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) due to Sharpe (1964) and Lintner (1965), when the number of securities, N, is large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. In the case of cross-sectionally correlated...
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transparent by nature. However, parameter estimation, signal extraction of the dynamic factors, and the econometric analysis …
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We develop a multivariate unobserved components model to extract business cycle and financial cycle indicators from a panel of economic and financial time series of four large developed economies. Our model is flexible and allows for the inclusion of cycle components in different selections of...
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direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
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