Mit der Formulierung der Allgemeinen Gleichgewichtstheorie liegt ein systematischer Ansatz in der ökonomischen Theoriegeschichte vor, die ökonomische Wissenschaft als eine den Naturwissenschaften analoge, exakte Wissenschaftsdisziplin auszuweisen und von der Moralsphäre abzugrenzen. Dieses...

We investigate forecasting in models that condition on variables for which future values are unknown. We consider the role of the significance level because it guides the binary decisions whether to include or exclude variables. The analysis is extended by allowing for a structural break, either...

By its emissions of greenhouse gases, economic activity is the source of climate change which affects pandemics that in turn can impact badly on economies. Across the three highly interacting disciplines in our title, time-series observations are measured at vastly different data frequencies:...

Structural breaks have attracted considerable attention recently, especially in light of the financial crisis, Great Recession, the COVID-19 pandemic, and war. While structural breaks pose significant econometric challenges, machine learning provides an incisive tool for detecting and...