The authors apply regime-switching methods to a monetarist model of exchange rates and identify well-defined intervention policy cycles. The policy response indices include a standard exchange market pressure-based index and a model-based volatility ratio that is endogenized relative to Japan,...

We analyse four stochastic claims reserving methods in terms of their capability to estimate reserve risk and how successful they are at predicting distributions and VaRs of claim developments in particular. Both actual data and hypothetical claim triangles support our results. The...

We consider a defined-contribution (DC)-pension-fund-management problem under partial information. The fund manager is allowed to invest the wealth from the fund account into a financial market consisting of a risk-free account, a stock and a rolling bond. The aim of the fund manager is to...

Objectives: Is the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) truly ‘irreversible’ as stated in the treaties? (i) From the sovereign debt crises of the 2010s, and the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, we draw the lesson that when exposed to large, systemic shocks the EMU faces a trilemma among...

We investigate intertemporal planning problems as a way of gaining understanding of the characteristics of individual decision-makers and the choice options presented to them. A frequent simplifying assumption that is made in studies of this sort is that choice of options that yield lower...