Credit risk is the most significant risk by impact for any bank and financial institution. Accurate credit risk assessment affects an organisation's balance sheet and income statement, since credit risk strategy determines pricing, and might even influence seemingly unrelated domains, e.g....

The lockdowns and stimulus programmes that governments have adopted to fight the COVID-19 pandemic and the associated economic crisis have affected the distribution of income and production within and between countries. Considering both, current evidence indicates that the EU-wide and global...

This paper adopts a novel approach to studying the evolution of interest rate term structure over the U.S. business cycles and to predicting recessions. Applying an effective algorithm, I classify the Treasury yield curve into distinct shapes and find the less frequent shapes intrinsically...

Export diversification, or the breadth of exports of an economy, is increasingly seen as a means of accelerating economic growth, mitigating instability due to price, demand, and exchange rate fluctuations, and stabilizing earnings from exports in the long run. As economies integrate into global...

This study introduced a new approach for monitoring regional development by applying satellite data with machine learning algorithms. Satellite data that represent physical features and environmental factors were obtained by developing a web-based application on the Google Earth Engine platform....

Inflation expectations are a crucial variable for central banks. However, empirically examining their properties is challenging. This paper juxtaposes the properties of consumer and professional expectations. It also assesses the degree of forward- and backward-lookingness and the information...

This paper investigates the impact of fiscal consolidation in different states on domestic government debt in South Africa. The government budget constraint theoretical framework and Markov-switching dynamic regression (MSDR) from 1979 to 2022. The contribution of this paper is to examine fiscal...

This paper aims to address the relatively limited attention given to the examination of exchange rate misalignment uncertainty in the specific context of South Africa. By specifically focusing on exchange rate misalignment uncertainty, this study fills a crucial gap in the literature and gains a...

Die hohen Inflationsraten als Konsequenz der Energiepreiskrise, die mit dem russischenAngriffskrieg auf die Ukraine begonnen hat, waren nicht nur für private Verbraucher, sondernauch für Unternehmen deutlich spürbar. Für das Hochkostenland Deutschland sind weitereKostensteigerungen im...