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under are highly nonstandard due to the inherent irregular natures of the problem, and then construct bootstrap critical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202917
This paper is aimed at presenting application of bootstrap interval estimation methods to the assessment of financial … investment’s effectiveness and risk. At first, we give an overview of various methods of bootstrap confidence interval estimation …, i.e. bootstrap-t interval, percentile interval and BCa interval. Then, bootstrap confidence interval estimation methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887711
In this paper, we introduce a method of generating bootstrap samples with unknown patterns of cross …-sectional/spatial dependence, which we call the spatial dependent wild bootstrap. This method is a spatial counterpart to the wild dependent … bootstrap of Shao (2010) and generates data by multiplying a vector of independently and identically distributed external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014308576
This paper provides new indices of global macroeconomic uncertainty and investigates the cross-country transmission of uncertainty using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. The indices measure the dispersion of forecasts that results from parameter uncertainty in the GVAR. Relying on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012233069
We propose an approach for jointly measuring global macroeconomic uncertainty and bilateral spillovers of uncertainty between countries using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. Over the period 2000Q1-2020Q4, our global index is able to summarize a variety of uncertainty measures, such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281497
long-run impact on the productive capacity of the economy through hysteresis effects. These demand shocks are found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417528
Purpose - to analyse the main borrowing alternatives available to Lithuanian households and the credit market as a whole, focusing on its peer-to-peer (P2P) segment, the forecast of its growth, and possible challenges. Research methodology - the research methods applied were scientific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348705
This paper develops a dynamic portfolio selection model incorporating economic uncertainty for business cycles. It is assumed that the financial market at each point in time is defined by a hidden Markov model, which is characterized by the overall equity market returns and volatility. The risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375264
We consider integrated modified least squares estimation for systems of cointegrating multivariate polynomial regressions, i. e., systems of regressions that include deterministic variables, integrated processes and products of these variables as regressors. The errors are allowed to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014529360
This paper shows that the integrated modified OLS (IM-OLS) estimator developed for cointegrating linear regressions in Vogelsang and Wagner (2014a) can be straightforwardly extended to cointegrating multivariate polynomial regressions. These are regression models that include as explanatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014519282