This paper tests the hypothesis on market efficiency for returns on the euro against fifteen currencies while assuming predictability of returns, dependent on the sign and magnitude of endogenous shocks. Considering the properties of exchange rate returns, the quantile autoregression approach...

This paper investigates price discovery in foreign exchange (FX) swaps. Using data on inter-dealer transactions, we find that a 1 standard deviation increase in order flow (i.e. net pressure to obtain USD through FX swaps) increases the cost of dollar funding by up to 4 basis points after the...

This paper analyses the explanatory power of the frequency of abnormal returns in the FOREX over the period 1994-2019. The following hypotheses are tested: frequency of abnormal returns is asignificant driver of price movements (H1); it does not exhibit seasonal patterns (H2); it is stable over...

The purpose of this study is to examine the role of options volatility and bid-ask spread as microstructural variables in determining whether the foreign exchange market’s price formation process in response to macroeconomic announcements is characterised by changes in risk perception and...

The study of the effectiveness of the currency market is one of the most important research problems in the field of finance. The paper aims to assess the efficiency of the Polish zloty exchange rate market. We test the market efficiency by applying two independent approaches, one based on the...

By examining the connectedness of carry trade currency with stock, foreign exchange (forex), and commodity markets, the paper investigates the extent to which shocks in capital flows driven by interest-rate differentials affect financial markets. Following the framework of Diebold and Yilmaz...