In this paper we study estimating ruin probability which is an important problem in insurance. Our work is developed upon the existing nonparametric estimation method for the ruin probability in the classical risk model, which employs the Fourier transform but requires smoothing on the density...

We consider the problem of constructing honest confidence intervals (CIs) for a scalar parameter of interest, such as the regression discontinuity parameter, in nonparametric regression based on kernel or local polynomial estimators. To ensure that our CIs are honest, we use critical values that...

This paper analyzes the problem of weak instruments on identification, estimation, and inference in a simple nonparametric model of a triangular system. The paper derives a necessary and sufficient rank condition for identification, based on which weak identification is established. Then...

This paper deals with the conditional hazard estimator of a real response where the variable is given a functional random variable (i.e it takes values in an infinite-dimensional space). Specifically, we focus on the functional index model. This approach offers a good com- promise between...

We propose a way to compute the hedging Delta using the Malliavin weight method. Our approach, which we name the l-method, generally outperforms the standard Monte Carlo finite difference method, especially for discontinuous payoffs. Furthermore, our approach is nonparametric, as we only assume...

In this paper, we address the identification and estimation of insurance models where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes random damages and allows for several claims, while insurees choose from a finite number of coverages. We show that the...

Angesichts der Vielfältigkeit des deutschen Bildungssystems erscheint es fraglich, die Entwicklung der Lohnstruktur lediglich anhand durchschnittlicher, meist semiparametrisch geschätzter Bildungsrenditen zu beurteilen. Die Arbeit konzentriert sich daher im theoretischen Teil auf die...

This note studies the criterion for identifiability in parametric models based on the minimization of the Hellinger distance and exhibits its relationship to the identifiability criterion based on the Fisher matrix. It shows that the Hellinger distance criterion serves to establish...

Taking into consideration the specifics of the Russian economy such as dependency on oil and gas drilling & production, and including the current context of the Western sanctions, COVID-19 pandemic, as well as somewhat idiosyncratic potential output development, the main aim of this paper is to...

This paper studies the self-weighted least squares estimator (SWLSE) of the ARMA model with GARCH noises. It is shown that the SWLSE is consistent and asymptotically normal when the GARCH noise does not have a finite fourth moment. Using the residuals from the estimated ARMA model, it is shown...