This study utilizes machine learning methods to forecast long-term CO2 emission trends and employs interpretable machine learning techniques to reexamine the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis. All methods we experimented with, including Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector...

This paper revisits the fiscal sustainability condition proposed by Domar (1944). The Domar condition is derived from the government budget constraint and thus focuses on the supply side of the government bond. By considering the demand for the government bond, this paper finds that public debt...

While unemployment rates in Europe declined after the global financial crisis until 2018/2019, the incidence of long-term unemployment, the share of people who have been unemployed for 1 year to the total unemployed, remained high. Moreover, the COVID-19 pandemic could aggravate the long-term...

Would countercyclical fiscal policy during recessions improve or worsen the gender employment gap? We answer this question by exploring the state-dependent impact of fiscal spending shocks on employment by gender in the G-7 countries. Using the local projection method, we find that, during...