This article contributes to understanding the performance of various unobserved components (UC) models in fitting Barbados’ real GDP. Relying on recent UC models techniques, it finds support for the UC model that captures correlated disturbances, but not for the model that does not. The best...

Electricity price forecasting has been a topic of significant interest since the deregulation of electricity markets worldwide. The New Zealand electricity market is run primarily on renewable fuels, and so weather metrics have a significant impact on electricity price and volatility. In this...

Payment systems are fundamental pillars of countries’ economic stability and financial systems. Central banks use them to promote safe and efficient electronic payments. As such, central banks have developed various tools to control and monitor inherent risks such as systemic risk, liquidity...

This paper proposes the sample path generation method for the stochastic volatility version of the CGMY process. We present the Monte-Carlo method for European and American option pricing with the sample path generation and calibrate model parameters to the American style S&P 100 index options...

We study a set of hypothetical reforms of child benefits in Germany, using a static tax-benefit microsimulation model augmented with endogenous labour supply and take-up choices (IAB-MSM). We distinguish between a reform of the universal non-means-tested child benefit, a reform of the...

We study a set of hypothetical reforms of child benefits in Germany using a static tax-benefit microsimulation model augmented with endogenous labour supply and take-up choices. We distinguish between a reform of the universal non-means-tested child benefit, a reform of the means-tested child...