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statistical inference, and the simulation uses the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581582
predict the sector-level S&P500 exchange-traded fund (ETF) volatility. It was found that the predictive content of co-jumps is … volatility forecasting. Additionally, we carried out Monte Carlo experiments designed to examine the relative performances of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013375217
carry out simulation studies to show the performance of the proposed inference framework and the procedure for selecting … tuning parameters. In addition, we apply the proposed framework to analyze volatility spillover and portfolio optimization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014497339
Intraday high-frequency data of stock returns exhibit not only typical characteristics (e.g., volatility clustering and … the leverage effect) but also a cyclical pattern of return volatility that is known as intraday seasonality. In this paper …, we extend the stochastic volatility (SV) model for application with such intraday high-frequency data and develop an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520275
market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of … to identify the best fit model that can predict the volatility of return of Bitcoin, which is in high demand as an … the residuals of the average equation model selected have ARCH effect. Volatility of Bitcoin return series after detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
This paper investigates the volatility of daily returns on the Romanian stock market between January 2020 and April … 2021. Volatility is analyzed by means of the representative index for Bucharest Stock Exchange (BSE), namely, the Bucharest … GARCH approach. In the survey, the GARCH model (1,1) was applied to explore the volatility of the BET and BSE traded shares …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626337
To address a key issue in functional time series analysis on testing the randomness of an observed series, we propose an IID test for functional time series by generalizing the Brock-Dechert-Scheinkman (BDS) test, which is commonly used for testing nonlinear independence. Similarly to the BDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015333723
This research aims to improve the efficiency in estimating the Hurst exponent in financial time series. A new procedure is developed based on equality in distribution and is applicable to the estimation methods of the Hurst exponent. We show how to use this new procedure with three of the most...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013413110
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012620806
A two-stage simulation-based framework is proposed to derive Identification Robust confidence sets by applying Indirect … are treated as test statistics, which are inverted rather than optimized, via the Monte Carlo test method. Simulation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265597