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We provide a production-based asset pricing model with dispersed information and small deviations from full rational expectations. In the model, aggregate output and equity prices depend on the higher-order beliefs about aggregate demand and individual stochastic discount factors. We prove that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415651
We examine the impact of the global economic activity, oil supply, oil-specific consumption demand, and oil inventory demand shocks on the expected aggregate skewness of the United States (US) economy, obtained based on a data-rich environment involving 211 macroeconomic and financial variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014435601
find that (i) the US economy is well described by a number of structural shocks between two and five. Focusing on the four-shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626760
consumer confidence in the USA and to study their effects on US economic revivalism during and after the coronavirus disease … 2019 (COVID-19) shock. Design/methodology/approach - The authors use Michigan's monthly Consumer Sentiment Index and its … recovery and guidance for policymakers on ways to contain the COVID-19 shock negative impacts on the economy by restoring …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014318249
We provide new evidence on the spillover effects from US interest rate changes, focusing on factors that are pertinent to the current conjuncture: weak recovery prospects in emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs), and the confluence of macroeconomic shocks shaping the path of interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013350818
This study delves into the impacts of the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 health crisis on U.S. financial indices, exploring the intricate relationship between economic shocks and these indices during downturns. Using Markov switching regression models and control variables,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636196
We study the dynamic link between economic news coverage and the macroeconomy. We construct two measures of media coverage of bad and good unemployment figures based on three major US newspapers. Using nonlinear time series techniques, we document three facts: (i) there is no significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440425
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015272697
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014366098
This study extends the concept of granularity from firms to cities, examining how large cities influence national economic dynamics beyond their relative size. By applying Zipf's law, which describes the power law distribution of city sizes, we investigate the interplay between granularity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636161