This study conducts a comprehensive analysis of the effects of changes in financial conditions on the economy of Türkiye, for which financial conditions indices were constructed. To examine possible changes in the relationship between financial conditions and the real economy due to the unique...

The dangers posed by natural disasters are a source of concern for policymakers. Severe occurrences caused by the devastation may contribute to the economic collapse and increase in sovereign debt. A catastrophe bond (CAT bond) can be utilized to transfer catastrophe risk to the financial...

This study compares and contrasts the multiple characterizations of mean reversion in financial time series as regards the restrictions they imply. This is accomplished by translating them into statements about an alternative measure, the "Average Crossing Time" or ACT. We argue that the ACT...

In this paper, we analysed the heavy-tailed behaviour in the dynamics of housing-price returns in the United States. We investigated the sources of heavy tails by estimating autoregressive models in which innovations can be subject to GARCH effects and/or non-Gaussianity. Using monthly data from...

Understanding the monetary policy transmission mechanism is pivotal for the design of an effective monetary policy. In this regard, the coexistence of interest rate and cost channel of monetary policy has raised important implications for the conduct of monetary policy. This article estimates a...

The existing econometric evidence on the relationship between stock indices and real economic activity is inconclusive despite theoretical arguments suggesting a long-term relationship. Previous studies indicate that the link between stock prices and growth became weaker in the 1980s. In this...

This paper adopts a novel approach to studying the evolution of interest rate term structure over the U.S. business cycles and to predicting recessions. Applying an effective algorithm, I classify the Treasury yield curve into distinct shapes and find the less frequent shapes intrinsically...

Since Barnett derived the user cost price of money, the economic theory of monetary services aggregation has been developed and extended into a field of its own with solid foundations in microeconomic theory. Divisia monetary aggregates have repeatedly been shown to be strictly preferable to...

This paper evaluates the macroeconomic effects of monetary policy for a central bank digital currency rule with traditional monetary policy in an open environment. We build a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium small open model economy with interest-bearing central bank digital currency...

The research work presented below addresses the possible concern of central bank independence through the development and application of econometric models. The complexity of the modelling has allowed a step further in corroborating that financial independence is not only linked to the...