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Bayes estimator and then it is compared with the maximum likelihood estimator. A simulation experiment is conducted and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655765
Cryptocurrencies are currently traded worldwide, with hundreds of different currencies in existence and even more on the way. This study implements some statistical and machine learning approaches for cryptocurrency investments. First, we implement GJR-GARCH over the GARCH model to estimate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628344
important for market participants, implying predictability. The paper estimates multifactor stochastic volatility models for … an excellent diversification instrument. Furthermore, the volatility data dependence is strong, indicating predictability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794710
Missing data or missing values are a common phenomenon in applied panel data research and of great interest for panel data unit root testing. The standard approach in the literature is to balance the panel by removing units and/or trimming a common time period for all units. However, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013041203
Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014391729
data of stock price trends using Monte Carlo simulation in two possible cases: the first, with 1,000 outcomes, and the … second, with 10,000 outcomes. After price simulation, a comparative analysis of the results obtained for these two companies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014490426
on cryptocurrency and stock market predictability. All arguments are central ingredients in the current economic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012586923
introduce two novel methods for computationally efficient simulation: Conditional MitISEM, a Markov chain Monte Carlo method to … provide more information about the left tail of the distribution of the standardized innovations. Extensive simulation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214294
This paper proposes a hybrid Bayesian Network (BN) method for short-term forecasting of crude oil prices. The method performed is a hybrid, based on both the aspects of classification of influencing factors as well as the regression of the out-of-sample values. For the sake of performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012267021
The computational revolution in simulation techniques has shown to become a key ingredient in the field of Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389851