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A feature of modern globalization processes is their vulnerability to the volatility of short-term capital flows, which …, combined with the growing volatility of commodity prices, have created serious difficulties for the economic policies of … tools is an urgent task. The purpose of the study is the impact of volatility and the level of world commodity prices on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012501873
The paper seeks to answer the question of how price forecasting can contribute to which techniques gives the most accurate results in the futures commodity market. A total of two families of models (decision trees, artificial intelligence) were used to produce estimates for 2018 and 2022 for 21-...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233184
, and the current consensus seems to be that there is at most a weak negative effect of exchange rate volatility on … aggregate trade flows. However, most of this literature examines the impact of exchange rate volatility on aggregate trade flows …, implicitly assuming a uniform impact of this volatility on exporters across sectors. This paper explots the fact that, if …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551089
This paper studies the volatility of commodity prices on the basis of a large dataset of monthly prices observed in … evidence does not actually attempt to measure the volatility of prices of individual goods or commodities. The literature tends … to focus on trends in the evolution and volatility of ratios of price indexes composed of multiple commodities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012551405
Commodities are often at the heart of local and sometimes national economies. Commodity prices are notoriously volatile, creating instability and uncertainty for commodity-dependent developing countries. Commodity price instability undermines economic growth and skews the distribution of income....
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commodity price uncertainties are proven to be leading indicators of uncertainty rather than volatility in commodity markets. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012548331
Empirical relationships between crude oil prices and exchange rates of oil exporting countries tend to vary over time. I use econometric models of the norwegian and canadian nominal exchange rates to investigate whether such time-variation could reflect shifts in the key oil price drivers over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214320