This paper examines whether the successful bid rate of the OnBid public auction, published by Korea Asset Management Corporation, can identify and forecast the Korea business-cycle expansion and contraction regimes characterized by the OECD reference turning points. We use logistic regression...

We present an approach for pricing American put options with a regime-switching volatility. Our method reveals that the option price can be expressed as the sum of two components: the price of a European put option and the premium associated with the early exercise privilege. Our analysis...

We propose a method for calibrating high-dimensional parameters in the Hull-White one-factor model using market prices of swaptions, aimed at generating mark-to-market interest rate scenarios in the Korean insurance industry. Our approach integrates a trust region-based Bayesian optimization...