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theory with the data, and, as a solution, proposes a so-called theory-consistent CVAR scenario. A number of early CVAR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012428078
In this paper, we test cointegration between GDP and Public consumption of the Republic of North Macedonia, for … quarterly data of twenty years' time series (2000Q1-2019Q4). We present results of two methods for cointegration test: first …, residual regression test table and second, Engle & Granger cointegration test and Philips Ouliaris test. Both methods provides …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013489691
fractional cointegration types; survival analysis; statistical modelling; likelihood; econometric methodology; the teaching and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013355167
Response management to the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak requires to answer several forecasting tasks. For hospital managers, a major one is to anticipate the likely needs of beds in intensive care in a given catchment area one or two weeks ahead, starting as early as possible in the evolution of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012299205
The relation between causal structure and cointegration and long-run weak exogeneity is explored using some ideas drawn …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012265689
2020 using the ARDL cointegration method. The results reveal that FDI, the interactive variable of FDI and trade openness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500822
consist of current and capital expenditures. To address this question, we employ the VAR model, the Johansen Cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012817769
We estimate sectoral spillovers around the Great Moderation with the help of forecast error variance decomposition tables. Obtaining such tables in high dimensions is challenging because they are functions of the estimated vector autoregressive coefficients and the residual covariance matrix. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362558
We nowcast and forecast Austrian economic activity, namely real gross domestic product (GDP), consumption and investment, which are available at a quarterly frequency. While nowcasting uses data up to (and including) the quarter to be predicted, forecasting uses only data up to the previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014432187
What drives the recent inflation surge? To answer this question, one must decompose inflation fluctuations into the contribution of structural shocks. We document how whimsical such a historical shock decomposition can be in standard vector autoregressive (VAR) models. We show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015179381