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the EGARCH model and event study methods to study the impact of the major risk event of Sino-US trade friction on soybean … effect between the soybean futures markets in China and the US, and significantly increased market volatilities. As the scale … of additional tariffs increased, the volatility of the Chinese soybean futures market declined; however, the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383294
average, quite close to zero, but there is increasing risk entailed in attempting to do so, as the hedge-tracking errors for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626875
mitigate the potential risk of data-snooping bias-the probability that any favorable results may inadvertently arise from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015194169
Accusations of price manipulation in the silver and gold markets have emerged in recent years. In an effort to increase transparency, the London spot price “fixing” mechanism was recently changed from an opaque negotiation process among a small number of dealer banks to a more observable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012321144
The main purpose of this comprehensive study is to determine the optimal hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness of different futures contracts traded on the Borsa Istanbul (BIST), namely the BIST 30 equity index, US dollar–Turkish lira currency futures (USD-TRY), euro–Turkish lira (EUR-TRY)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818026
This paper studies the effect of new gold derivatives products, including Gold-D and Gold Online Futures, on the futures price volatility of existing gold futures with two contract sizes, 50 baht-weight and 10 baht-weight, using symmetric and asymmetric GARCH family models, namely: GARCH (1,1),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179506
A robust model for natural gas prices should simultaneously capture the observed prices of both futures and options. While incorporating a seasonal factor in the convenience yield of the spot price effectively replicates forward curves, it proves insufficient for accurately modelling the options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015436556
managers, investors, and traders should pay attention to crude oil and soybean futures to mitigate risk and diversify their …This paper investigates the impact of soybean and crude oil futures on palm oil indexes by utilising monthly data from … oil futures and crude palm oil, and a short-run relationship with soybean futures, crude oil futures, and crude palm oil …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013499160
The combination of stochastic derivative pricing models and downside risk measures often leads to the paradox (risk … expected returns and very negative downside risk (henceforth "golden strategy") has only been studied if all the involved … multi-asset golden strategies for both the expected shortfall and the expectile risk measure, and shows that the use of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015333614
soybean futures market, we not only find its excellent out-of-sample market risk forecasting performance but also offer …Modeling futures market risk simultaneously influenced by macro low-frequency information and daily risk factors is a …-frequency factors directly influence the high-frequency futures market risk. Through an exhaustive empirical analysis of the Chinese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013176742