Guidolin, Massimo; Ionta, Serena - In: Econometrics : open access journal 13 (2025) 2, pp. 1-36
This paper explores the hypothesis that the returns of asset classes can be predicted using common, systematic risk factors represented by the level, slope, and curvature of the US interest rate term structure. These are extracted using the Nelson-Siegel model, which effectively captures the...