We conduct a Monte Carlo experiment using an ad-hoc New Keynesian model and a tractable agent-based model to generate artificial credit cycle episodes. We show that fluctuations in the implicit measures of the natural rate of interest obtained using a conventional trivariate Kalman filter on...

We estimate a model of household use of alternative payment instruments (cash and bank cards) using a new dataset from a survey of Russian households. In our model, household preferences are determined by the perceived attributes of these instruments, and hence their choice regarding payment...