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This study investigates the role of oil futures price information on forecasting the US stock market volatility using the HAR framework. In-sample results indicate that oil futures intraday information is helpful to increase the predictability. Moreover, compared to the benchmark model, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206077
A well-documented finding is that explicitly using jumps cannot efficiently enhance the predictability of crude oil price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272635
Of many psychological biases, overconfidence has been described as one of the most powerful. Few studies have focused on collective overconfidence in team decision-making by boards of directors since boards are typically "black boxes". Based on the shared cognition and trickle-down effect, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334798
Intermittent demand refers to the specific demand pattern with frequent periods of zero demand. It occurs in a variety of industries including industrial equipment, automotive and specialty chemicals. In some industries or some sectors of industry, even majority of products are in intermittent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013206065