Showing 1 - 10 of 587
Predictions of the individual unemployment duration will allow to distribute target support while searching for a job … more effectively. The paper uses survival models to predict the unemployment duration based on data from Russian employment … well as the job search duration. Two models' forecasts are investigated: the proportional and the non-proportional hazards …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015396287
the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were asked for their perceived probability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478868
(such as temporary contracts and mini-jobs) as well as unemployment. This combined unstable state captures a fuller picture … of the individual experience of volatile income and uncertain employment status than unemployment alone. We find that the … survival rates of unstable spells in the two countries are much more similar than those from unemployment. This suggests that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013326880
We estimate the causal effect of parents' unemployment on unemployment among their children in their own adulthood. We …) identifcation strategy using parents' job loss during a mass layoff as the instrument. We find evidence of unemployment inheritance … in the next generation. An additional day of unemployment during childhood causally raises the average unemployment days …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012198211
reform on the unemployment rate and the average unemployment duration using municipality-level panel data and various panel … data estimators. We found that while the reform had a barely discernible effect on municipal unemployment rates, it … increased average unemployment durations by 2-3 weeks. Hence, face-to-face counselling and online counselling are not perfect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012297670
The following contribution compares the unemployment situation arising from the lockdown induced by the Covid-19 … pandemic with previous employment crises in Switzerland. In addition, it forecasts the future trajectory of unemployment based … on ongoing changes in hazard rates. From a historical perspective, current unemployment as well as that expected by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392497
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012309358
This paper proposes a new bivariate competing risks model in which both durations are the first passage times of dependent Lévy subordinators with exponential thresholds and multiplicative covariates effects. Our specification extends the mixed proportional hazards model, as it allows for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213979
covering 1996 to 2019 show that export of services positively and significantly impact the duration of goods exports. A … ICT service exports increase the duration of export of goods. Therefore, the simultaneous advancement of goods and service …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015376003
In this paper, we investigate the causes and consequences of "unclaimed" unemployment insurance (UI) benefits. A search … collecting, with improper denials accounting for 8% of the total cost. The endogenous collection costs imply the unemployment … net of vacancy costs. Moreover, this change has minimal impact on the unemployment rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316202