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The establishment of common guidelines for seasonal adjustment within the European Statistical System is an essential step towards a better harmonisation and comparability of infra-annual statistics. Following the 2009 and 2015 editions which were widely accepted and implemented, the 2024...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015276078
We present a procedure to perform seasonal adjustment over daily sales data. The model adjusts daily information from the Immediate Supply of Information System for Value Added Tax declaration forms compiled by the Spanish Tax Agency. The procedure performs signal extraction and forecasting at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012694357
-linearity, and multiple seasonality or time-varying correlations. Our study indicates that the joint dual long-memory process can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272684
This paper examines the use of machine learning methods in modeling and forecasting time series with long memory through GARMA. By employing rigorous model selection criteria through simulation study, we find that the hybrid GARMA-LSTM model outperforms traditional approaches in forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408216
-series forecasting characterized by complex seasonality. Recognizing prevailing seasonal trends continues to be difficult, given that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015437130
The increasing growth of forced displacement worldwide has led to the stronger interest of various stakeholders in measuring poverty among refugee populations. However, refugee data remain scarce, particularly in relation to the measurement of income, consumption, or expenditure. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167998
When faced with missing data in a statistical survey or administrative sources, imputation is frequently used in order to fill the gaps and reduce the major part of bias that can affect aggregated estimates as a consequence of these gaps. This paper presents research on the efficiency of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487043
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384462
-called trigonometric seasonality, the Box-Cox transformation, ARMA errors, trend, and seasonal components (TBATS) models to forecast … models is that it allows just one single seasonality pattern to be taken into account, e.g., weekly seasonality. At the same … time, cash withdrawals from ATMs display overlapping multi-seasonality. Therefore, the goal of this article is to compare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014429270
The global nature of the Czech economy means that quantitative knowledge of the influence of the exchange rate provides useful information for all participants in the international economy. Systematic and academic research show that the issue of estimating the Czech crown/Chinese yuan exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422880