This paper uses a Bayesian approach to estimate a standard international real business cycle model augmented with preferences with zero wealth-effect, variable capacity utilization and investment adjustment costs. First, I find that the bulk of fluctuations in country-specific outputs,...

Global and European trade balances have seen strong divergences combined with strong movements in the exchange rate. Trade balances and real effective exchange rates are related. Using different measures of the real effective exchange rate, we show that this long-run link hinges on the relative...

This paper investigates the dynamic implications of Krugman’s (1999) model of financial crises with balance-sheet effects, which has a considerable impact on the literature as well as the teaching of international financial crisis. By explicitly taking account of wealth accumulation and...

Since the 1980s, most emerging economies have experienced economic crises associated with large, prolonged current account deficits and real exchange rate misalignment. Eventually these governments ended up devaluing national currencies. Empirical evidence from developing countries suggests that...

The Chinese government has come under increasing criticism from both the U.S. government and some critics in U.S. industry for manipulating its currency. This article offers some insight on whether the yuan is correctly valued. Evidence suggests that, regardless of whether a fixed exchange rate...

Volatile capital flows complicate emerging market economies’ macroeconomic management. This paper demonstrates that financial development helps reduce the impact of non-FDI inflows on real exchange rate appreciation. Using dynamic panel techniques and data from 78 developing economies for the...

We examine the impact of the global financial crisis on the degree of international income and consumption risk-sharing among industrial economies using returns on cross-border portfolio holdings (e.g., debt, equity, fdi). We split the returns from the net foreign holdings as receipts (inflows)...

Modelling of the physical characteristics of goods and geography can explain both the puzzling persistence and volatility in the deviations of the international relative prices and the real exchange rate (the PPP persistence puzzle). In a two-country, three-good general equilibrium model,...

This paper studies how the real exchange rate changes with economic growth. Although Devereux (1999) proves that endogenous growth in the distribution sector can cause exchange rate depreciation, MacDonald and Rucci (2005) empirically find that growth in the distribution sector significantly...

The Real Exchange Rate (RER) dynamic has been widely studied. The international literature shows that, in the period after the Bretton Woods treaties, it would follow a non-stationary process. The evidence for the Chilean economy suggests that only in the very long term it is possible to find...