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A tale of two debt crises: a stochastic optimal control analysis
Stein, Jerome L.
-
2008
Banks should evaluate whether a borrower is likely to default. I apply several techniques in the extensive mathematical literature of stochastic optimal control/dynamic programming to derive an optimal debt in an environment where there are risks on both the asset and liabilities sides. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264305
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2
A critique of the literature on the US financial debt crisis
Stein, Jerome L.
-
2010
A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266065
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3
Population, pensions, and endogenous economic growth
Heer, Burkhard
;
Irmen, Andreas
-
2008
We study the effect of a declining labor force on the incentives to engage in labor-saving technical change and ask how this effect is influenced by institutional characteristics of the pension scheme. When labor is scarcer it becomes more expensive and innovation investments that increase labor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264503
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Exposure to the COVID-19 Stock Market Crash and its Effect on Household Expectations
Hanspal, Tobin
-
2020
We survey a representative sample of US households to study how exposure to the COVID-19 stock market crash affects expectations and planned behavior. Wealth shocks are associated with upward adjustments of expectations about retirement age, desired working hours, and household debt, but have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835653
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Politics in the Facebook Era - Evidence from the 2016 US Presidential Elections
Liberini, Federica
-
2020
Through social media, politicians can personalize their campaigns and target specific groups of voters with an unprecedented precision. We assess the effects of such political micro-targeting by exploiting daily advertising prices on Facebook during the 2016 US presidential campaign. We measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835993
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Hindsight Bias and Trust in Government : Evidence from the United States
Herz, Holger
;
Kistler, Deborah
;
Zehnder, Christian
; …
-
2022
We empirically assess whether hindsight bias has consequences on how citizens evaluate their political actors. Using an incentivized elicitation technique, we demonstrate that people systematically misremember their past policy preferences regarding how to best fight the Covid-19 pandemic. At...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083043
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7
Distrust or Speculation? The Socioeconomic Drivers of U.S. Cryptocurrency Investments
Auer, Raphael
;
Tercero-Lucas, David
-
2021
Employing representative data from the U.S. Survey of Consumer Payment Choice, we disprove the hypothesis that cryptocurrency investors are motivated by distrust in fiat currencies or regulated finance. Compared with the general population, investors show no differences in their level of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212264
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Running the U.S. Economy at Full Throttle is a Stressful Variant of Capitalism
Komlos, John
-
2022
Maximizing output without taking into consideration the negative externalities generated, including the harm to the mental and physical health of the population creates psychological stress. Focusing on the bellwether indicators of economic performance including working more, generating income,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014237622
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The savings-inflation puzzle
Heer, Burkhard
;
Süssmuth, Bernd
-
2006
We find that inflation did not unanimously decrease savings in the US during the postwar period. This result is puzzling as it contradicts the implications of most monetary general equilibrium models.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261403
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Re-examining the decline in the US saving rate: The impact of mortgage equity withdrawal
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
;
Costantini, Mauro
;
Paradiso, …
-
2012
In this paper we examine the role of mortgage equity withdrawal in explaining the decline of the US saving rate, since when house prices rise and mortgage rates are low, homeowners have an incentive to withdraw housing equity and this may affect the saving rate. We estimate a Vector Error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283598
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