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The fiscal theory says that the price level is determined by the ratio of nominal debt to the present value of real … primary surpluses. I analyze long-term debt and optimal policy in the fiscal theory. I find that the maturity structure of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220940
If a specified amount of government spending must be financed, how should that finance be divided between taxes and government borrowing? In the case of a temporary increase in government spending, it has been argued that debt finance is optimal because the small increments in all future tax...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225423
A new theory of price determination suggests that if primary surpluses are independent of the level of debt, the price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243371
The conventional wisdom is that politicians' rent-seeking motives increase public debt and deficits. This is because myopic politicians face political risk and prefer to extract political rents as early as possible. An implication of this argument is that governments will under-save during a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769645
We analyze the conduct of fiscal policy in a financially integrated union in the presence of financial frictions. Frictions create a wedge between the return to investment and the union interest rate. This leads to an over-spending externality. While the social cost of spending is the return to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014093602
The paper studies budgetary, financial and monetary policy evaluationand design using a comprehensive wealth or permanent income accounting framework. A set of stylized balance sheets and permanent income accountsis constructed for the public, private and overseas sectors.These are then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234088
We establish two underappreciated facts about costly search. First, unless demand is perfectly inelastic, search frictions can result in significant deadweight loss by decreasing consumption. Second, whenever cross-price elasticities are non-zero, costly search in one market also affects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323662
I construct a simple model with sticky prices and interest rate targets, closed by fiscal theory of the price level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314319
The intertemporal budget constraint of the government implies a relationship between a ratio of current liabilities to the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the primary deficit. This relationship defines a natural measure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760575
We refer to the idea that government must 'tighten its belt' as a necessary policy response to higher indebtedness as the household fallacy. We provide a reason to be skeptical of this claim that holds even if the economy always operates at full employment and all markets clear. Our argument...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925293