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estimated in two ways. One may test for speculative bubbles, or fads, by testing whether the two estimates are the same. When … the test is applied to some annual U.S. stock market data, the data usually reject the null hypothesis of no bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477002
We explore the implications of asset price volatility for the management of monetary policy. We show that it is desirable for central banks to focus on underlying inflationary pressures. Asset prices become relevant only to the extent they may signal potential inflationary or deflationary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471216
and the land price increase in 1990 is not explained by any asset pricing model based on fundamentals or rational bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473511
In this paper, we re-examine the stock market of the 1920s and 1930s for evidence of a bubble, a 'fad' or 'herding' behavior by studying individual stock returns. One story often advanced for the boom of 1928 and 1929 is that it was driven by the entry into the market of largely uninformed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474307
Standard tests find that no bubbles are present in the stock price data for the last one hundred years. In contrast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475403
Closed-end mutual funds provide one of the few cases in which economists can observe "fundamental" values directly, and compare them to market values: the fundamental value of a closed-end fund is simply the net asset value of its portfolio. We use the difference between prices and asset values...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475510
type of rational bubble that depends exclusively on dividends. We call such bubbles "intrinsic" bubbles because they derive … examples of rational bubbles, intrinsic bubbles provide an empirically plausible account of deviations from present …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012475954
not valid in general: as soon as bubbles affect interest rates, the fundamental value of a stock depends on whether or not …-bubble price. Under conditions made precise below, there can therefore be price decreasing bubbles, and an asset can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476236
and Porter (1981) and Shiller (1981a). It appears that neither small sample bias, rational bubbles nor some standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012476489
bubbles in stock prices in a model in which stockholders have …rules out the existence of negative rational bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012477082