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these linked bubbles primarily focus on the irrationality of investor speculation and the corresponding stock price behavior … examine a broad cross-section of security price data to evaluate the causes of the bubbles. Using newly collected stock prices … in 1720. Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that financial bubbles require a plausible story to justify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463318
We test for the existence of housing bubbles associated with a failure of the transversality condition that requires …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458510
We study three centuries of U.K. fiscal history. Before WW-I, when the U.K. dominated global bond markets, the U.K.'s government debt was not always fully backed by its future surpluses, even after accounting for the seigniorage revenue from convenience yields. As predicted by theories of safe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210087
We investigate the Expectations Hypotheses of the term structure of interest rates and of the foreign exchange market using vector autoregressive methods for the U.S. dollar, Deutsche mark, and British pound interest rates and exchange rates. In addition to standard Wald tests, we formulate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471161
Periodic sharp sustained increases and then reversals in asset prices lead many to posit irrational price bubbles. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467354
There has been a remarkable increase in wage inequality in the US, UK and many other countries over the past three decades. A significant part of this appears to be within observable groups (such as age-gender-skill cells). A generally untested implication of many theories rationalizing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465301
Financial economists in recent years have closely examined and intensely debated the performance of initial public offerings using data after the formation of NASDAQ. The paper seeks to shed light on this controversy by undertaking a large, out-of-sample study: we examine the performance for up...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470213
We ask whether stock returns in France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US are predictable by three instruments: the dividend yield, the earnings yield and the short rate. The predictability regression is suggested by a present value model with earnings growth, payout ratios and the short rate as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470517
This paper describes regularities in the intraday spreads and prices quoted by dealers on the London Stock Exchange. It develops a measure of spread-related transaction costs, one that recognizes dealers' willingness to price trades within their quoted spreads. This measure of transaction costs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474198
This paper presents a comprehensive study of the interactions among returns, volatility, and trading volume between the U.S. and Japanese stock markets by using intradaily data from October 1985 to December 1991. By examining the effect of foreign price volatility and trading volume on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474348