Showing 1 - 10 of 39
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose exible methods that exploit recent developments in nancial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371457
a latent factor. These stochastic volatility specifications fit naturally in the continuous-time finance paradigm, and …We give an overview of a broad class of models designed to capture stochastic volatility in financial markets, with … illustrations of the scope of application of these models to practical finance problems. In a broad sense, this model class includes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014197525
-form volatility modeling and forecasting as well as testing for the presence of jumps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014202215
We develop a test for stationarity of latent volatility curves over time using high-frequency financial data. For … featuring deterministic trends in the volatility curve dynamics. Simulation results corroborate our theoretical findings … volatility pattern over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349529
This paper extends the class of stochastic volatility diffusions for asset returns to encompass Poisson jumps of time … as well as stochastic volatility with a pronounced negative relationship between return and volatility innovations. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470208
forecasting of daily and lower frequency volatility and return distributions. Most procedures for modeling and forecasting … ARCH or stochastic volatility models, which often perform poorly at intraday frequencies. Use of realized volatility … variation, we formally develop the links between the conditional covariancematrix and the concept of realized volatility. Next …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470566
We exploit direct model-free measures of daily equity return volatility and correlation obtained from high …, solidify and extend existing characterizations of stock return volatility and correlation. We find that the unconditional … portfolio diversification when the market is most volatile. Our findings are broadly consistent with a latent volatility fact or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470803
It is well known that high-frequency asset returns are fat-tailed relative to the Gaussian distribution tails are typically reduced but not eliminated when returns are standardized by volatilities estimated from popular models such as GARCH. We consider two major dollar exchange rates, and we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471288
Volatility permeates modern financial theories and decision making processes. As such, accurate measures and good … forecasts of future volatility are critical for the implementation and evaluation of asset pricing theories. In response to this …, a voluminous literature has emerged for modeling the temporal dependencies in financial market volatility at the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472795
This paper characterizes the volatility in the DM-dollar foreign exchange market using an annual sample of five … announcement effects, and the volatility persistence, or ARCH effects, familiar from lower frequency returns. The different … modeled, constitute an extremely valuable and vastly underutilized resource for better understanding the volatility dynamics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473050