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We examine the effect of demographic shifts on asset prices in an overlapping generations model with endogenous population dynamics. We establish a robust inverse relationship between returns and the old dependency ratio. We document the absence of a simple monotonic relationship between asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013466466
This paper presents presents presents a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregression (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) model to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine various relations between stock returns and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437764
In a continuous time, arbitrage free, non-complete market with a zero bond, we find the intertemporal price for risk to equal the standard deviation of the discounted variance optimal martingale measure divided by the zero bond price. We show the Hedging Numeraire to equal the Market Portfolio...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544966
This note develops the solutions of the static portfolio optimization problem in explicit matrix form. Three cases are contemplated and connected, with the derivation of relevant corner solutions: the unconstrained problem in the presence of risky assets only, the constrained one, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526683
In this paper the relatively new technique of neural nets is integrated in a traditional model of portfolio choice. On the basis of Arrow’s State Preference Model the investment decision depends on the expectation building process which consists of two components. The individual information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009781736
We analyze the impact of market frictions on trading volume and liquidity premia of finite maturity assets when investors differ in their trading needs. Our equilibrium model generates a clientele effect (frequently trading investors only hold short-term assets) and predicts i) a hump-shaped...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449872
Deriving an optimal asset allocation for institutional investors hinges crucially on the quality of inputs used in the optimization. If the mean vector and the covariance matrix are known with certainty, the classical mean-variance optimization of Markowitz (1952) produces optimal portfolios....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012042184
A non-Gaussian multivariate regime switching dynamic correlation model for fi nancial asset returns is proposed. It incorporates the multivariate generalized hyperbolic law for the conditional distribution of returns. All model parameters are estimated consistently using a new two-stage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012051878
Does extreme downside risk require a risk premium in the pricing of individual assets? Extreme downside risk is a conditional measure for the co-movement of individual stocks with the market, given that the state of the world is extremely bad. This measure, derived from statistical extreme value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132335