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Expectations of risky bond payments are unobservable and recovery rates for sovereigns are hard to estimate because they have no contractual claims to defined assets and samples of defaults are limited. A geometric version of credit spread is used to derive expected payments, dependent on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307696
Are Bunds special? This paper estimates the 'Bund premium' as the difference in convenience yields between other sovereign safe assets and German government bonds adjusted for sovereign credit risk, liquidity and swap market frictions. A higher premium suggests less substitutability of sovereign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154614
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156915
We investigate whether sovereign bond holdings of European banks are determined by a risk-return trade-off. Using data between 2011 and 2018 for 75 European banks, we confirm that banks exhibited risk-taking behavior during the sovereign debt crisis, e.g., due to moral suasion. In the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012821286
How does the additional debt issued by the government affect the term structure of interest rates? In this paper we identify Treasury supply shocks using intraday high-frequency data, by exploiting the institutional setup of the UK government bond primary market. We find that supply shocks have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256943
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011549287
news shows of leading TV stations in 12 countries which include 37,859 news on the EU, on the Eurozone and on country …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011955600
news shows of leading TV stations in 12 countries which include 37,859 news on the EU, on the Eurozone and on country …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892159
This paper is about market liquidity risk premia in Eurozone sovereign bond spreads between 2008 and 2015. By …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969408
surpluses. In the data, adjustments to convenience yields explain a larger fraction of the variation in Eurozone bond yields …-section and in the time series. These findings imply large fiscal costs especially on the peripheral countries. If all Eurozone … billion euros in cumulative revenues from bond issuance between 2003 and 2020, representing 2.6% of 2020 Eurozone GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013234177