Bootstrap; Europäische Währungsunion; Frühwarnsystem; Makroökonomische Ungleichgewichte; Makroökonomische Überwachung; Penalized Splines; Risikoprämien auf Staatsschulden; Staatsschuldenkrise; Semiparametrische Regression; Signalansatz

This thesis is a volume comprised of four independent chapters: The overarching topic of the thesis is pensions and fiscal sustainability. An overriding problematic throughout the different chapters is that of demographic ageing. This ageing process, in the form of higher longevity and lower...