Faced with the problem of pricing complex contingent claims, an investor seeks to make her valuations robust to model uncertainty. We construct a notion of a model-uncertainty-induced preference functional and extend the "No Good Deals" methodology of Cochrane and Sa a-Requejo (2000) to compute...

Faced with the problem of pricing complex contingent claims, investors seek to make their valuations robust to model uncertainty. We construct a notion of a modeluncertainty-induced utility function and show that model uncertainty increases investors' effective risk aversion. Using this utility...

The risk management of derivative portfolios is vulnerable to model error. This paper explores risk management strategies based on no-arbitrage bounds, which are independent of any model. In particular, we determine the bounds on the price of a general barrier option given the price of a set of...

We solve for a Firm's optimal cash holding policy within a continuous time, contingent claims framework using dividends, short-term borrowing and equity issues as controls. In line with recent empirical research but in contrast with most of the contingent claims literature we assume mean...

We model seasonal, uncertain production of a commodity, with speculative storage. We allow agents to be risk averse, and we allow planned production to respond to price prospects. We also explicitly consider the presence or absence of a futures market in the commodity. Our technique involves a...

We study a continuous time model of a levered firm with fixed assets generating a cash flow which fluctuates with business conditions. Since external finance is costly, the firm holds a liquid (cash) reserve to help survive periods of poor business conditions. Holding liquid assets inside the...

In the Samp;P500 futures options, we identify 3 factors, corresponding to movements in the underlying, parallel movements, and tilting of the cross section of implied volatilities (the quot;smirk factor''). We relate these factors non-linearly to movements in the option prices. They are...

We construct portfolios of Samp;P500 futures and their associated options, which are Delta (price) and Vega (volatility) neutral. These systematically earn negative abnormal returns, and suggest that out of the money puts are too expensive, relative to out of the money calls. We give evidence...