Assessing the global economic outlook is a fundamentally important task of international financial institutions, governments and central banks. In this paper we focus on the consequences of the rapid growth of emerging markets for monitoring and forecasting the global outlook. Our main results...

From a theoretical point of view, uncertainty over the demand for a firm's product may not have clear effects on investments, because of the influence of a number of factors, such as the production technology and the amount of competition in the product market. Until now, a deeper investigation...

This paper proposes a simple procedure to obtain monthly assessments of short-run perspectives for quarterly world GDP and trade. It combines emerging and advanced countries' high frequency information to explain quarterly national accounts variables through bridge models. The union of all...